Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 12.11 | $0.590 | $11.66 | +$4.51 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Brazil by November 30?Yes | sell | 11.5 | $0.994 | $11.43 | Nov 21, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 18.3 |
| $0.660 |
| $12.08 |
| Nov 19, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: NovemberNo | sell | 20.6 | $0.100 | $2.06 | Nov 19, 2025 |
 U.S. agrees to give Saudi Arabia security guarantee by November 30?Yes | sell | 36.9 | $0.020 | $0.74 | Nov 19, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA reach $216 in November?Yes | sell | 16.8 | $0.120 | $2.02 | Nov 19, 2025 |
 Gemini 3.0 Flash released by November 30?Yes | sell | 17.3 | $0.080 | $1.38 | Nov 19, 2025 |
 Will Atlas have an iOS app live by December 31?Yes | sell | 23.8 | $0.050 | $1.19 | Nov 19, 2025 |
 Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2025?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.070 | $2.8 | Nov 19, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by November 30?No | sell | 6.27 | $0.540 | $3.39 | Nov 19, 2025 |
 Will Dan Sullivan vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?No | sell | 41 | $0.060 | $2.46 | Nov 19, 2025 |
 Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?Yes | sell | 65.7 | $0.440 | $28.91 | Nov 19, 2025 |
 Trump approval Up or Down this week?Down | sell | 10.3 | $0.270 | $2.78 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?No | sell | 36.71 | $0.360 | $13.22 | Nov 18, 2025 |
| Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?Yes | sell | 38.2 | $0.630 | $24.07 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 Trump agrees to sell F-35 to Saudi Arabia by November 30?No | sell | 49.4 | $0.160 | $7.9 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 Epstein disclosure bill/resolution enacted in 2025?No | sell | 22.51 | $0.400 | $9 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 TikTok sale announced in 2025?Yes | sell | 50.5 | $0.130 | $6.57 | Nov 17, 2025 |
 Brazil unemployment below 6.3% for Q4 2025?Yes | sell | 15.5 | $0.006 | $0.09 | Nov 16, 2025 |
| Brazil unemployment below 6.3% for Q4 2025?Yes | sell | 15.5 | $0.010 | $0.16 | Nov 16, 2025 |
| Brazil unemployment below 6.3% for Q4 2025?Yes | sell | 15.5 | $0.400 | $6.2 | Nov 16, 2025 |
 Will Pope Leo XIV meet with Donald Trump in 2025?Yes | sell | 55.1 | $0.060 | $3.31 | Oct 11, 2025 |
 Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11 Superheavy explode?No | sell | 100 | $0.030 | $3 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada in 2025?Yes | sell | 24.2 | $0.050 | $1.21 | Oct 9, 2025 |
 Will Elon register the America Party in 2025?Yes | sell | 105.9 | $0.050 | $5.3 | Oct 9, 2025 |
 Will DraftKings acquire Railbird by October 31?Yes | sell | 54.1 | $0.120 | $6.49 | Oct 9, 2025 |
 US congress stock trading ban in 2025?Yes | sell | 11.77 | $0.080 | $0.94 | Oct 9, 2025 |
 Will RFK end COVID-19 vaccine recommendation in 2025?Yes | sell | 7 | $0.140 | $0.98 | Oct 9, 2025 |
 Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?Yes | sell | 12.7 | $0.070 | $0.89 | Oct 9, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump visit France in 2025?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.160 | $1.6 | Oct 9, 2025 |
 French election called by December 31?Yes | sell | 73.9 | $0.330 | $24.39 | Oct 5, 2025 |
 Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31?Yes | sell | 7.3 | $0.500 | $3.65 | Sep 21, 2025 |
 Israel x Syria security agreement by September 30?No | sell | 33.5 | $0.600 | $20.1 | Sep 20, 2025 |
 Another Canada election called in 2025?No | sell | 7.1 | $0.880 | $6.25 | Sep 20, 2025 |
 Will a hurricane form by September 30?No | sell | 16.7 | $0.040 | $0.67 | Sep 20, 2025 |
 Will Trump spend >25% of 2025 presidency golfing?No | sell | 74.8 | $0.350 | $26.18 | Sep 19, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: Crypto EditionYes | sell | 21.2 | $0.300 | $6.36 | Sep 19, 2025 |
 Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?No | sell | 30 | $0.140 | $4.2 | Sep 19, 2025 |
 Will Zama launch a token in 2025?No | sell | 8.1 | $0.340 | $2.75 | Sep 19, 2025 |
 Will Fedex (FDX) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?Yes | sell | 67.2 | $0.990 | $66.53 | Sep 18, 2025 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: SeptemberNo | sell | 5.8 | $0.080 | $0.46 | Sep 18, 2025 |
 Hezbollah strike on Israel by September 30?No | sell | 43.5 | $0.900 | $39.15 | Sep 18, 2025 |
 Will the Nepalese government fall by September 30?No | sell | 83.6 | $0.969 | $81.01 | Sep 18, 2025 |
 Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?Yes | sell | 56.3 | $0.260 | $14.64 | Sep 18, 2025 |
 Meteora FDV above $2B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 156 | $0.640 | $99.84 | Sep 18, 2025 |
| Meteora FDV above $2B one day after launch?No | sell | 50 | $0.350 | $17.5 | Sep 18, 2025 |
 Another 7.0 or above earthquake by September 30?Yes | sell | 8.4 | $0.420 | $3.53 | Sep 17, 2025 |
 Fact check: Was Tyler Robinson a lone actor?Yes | sell | 45.2 | $0.880 | $39.78 | Sep 17, 2025 |
 New arrests in Charlie Kirk shooting by September 30?No | sell | 31.4 | $0.890 | $27.95 | Sep 17, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?Yes | sell | 0.29 | $0.390 | $0.11 | Sep 16, 2025 |
 Will Trump impose more sanctions on Russia by September 30?No | sell | 17.5 | $0.430 | $7.52 | Sep 15, 2025 |