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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 333.37 | $0.626 | $225.02 | +$16.16 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 99.5 | $0.840 | $83.58 | 8d ago |
| No |
| 220 |
| $0.920 |
| $203.61 |
| +$1.26 |
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | Yes | 200 | $0.910 | $193.7 | +$11.7 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | No | 189.87 | $0.790 | $186.55 | +$36.55 |
Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election? | Yes | 160.52 | $0.839 | $142.86 | +$8.24 |
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | Yes | 312.33 | $0.480 | $142.11 | -$7.89 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 200 | $0.560 | $133 | +$21 |
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? | No | 277.78 | $0.540 | $95.83 | -$54.17 |
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | No | 200 | $0.460 | $91 | -$1 |
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 169.39 | $0.510 | $85.54 | -$0.85 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 100 | $0.430 | $80.5 | +$37.5 |
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495? | Yes | 100 | $0.440 | $77.5 | +$33.5 |
Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | Yes | 77.4 | $0.646 | $69.32 | +$19.31 |
Will Partido Liberal (PL) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election? | Yes | 69.41 | $0.779 | $57.61 | +$3.51 |
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 250 | $0.288 | $56.25 | -$15.75 |
Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 100 | $0.548 | $51.15 | -$3.65 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 100 | $0.670 | $44.5 | -$22.5 |
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 2.34K | $0.026 | $36.32 | -$23.68 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | No | 18.4 | $0.340 | $15.73 | +$9.48 |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 16.67 | $0.600 | $7.92 | -$2.08 |
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 172.41 | $0.029 | $0.09 | -$4.91 |
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 128.21 | $0.039 | $0.06 | -$4.94 |
Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes| buy |
| 100 |
| $0.548 |
| $54.8 |
| 8d ago |
Will Alexandre Kalil win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?Yes | sell | 354.55 | $0.020 | $7.15 | 8d ago |
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.320 | $32 | 8d ago |
Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 312.5 | $0.290 | $90.63 | 8d ago |
Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election?Yes | buy | 88.99 | $0.850 | $75.64 | 9d ago |
Will Partido Liberal (PL) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?Yes | buy | 65.1 | $0.780 | $50.78 | 9d ago |
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31?Yes | sell | 183.17 | $0.065 | $11.91 | 9d ago |
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.280 | $56 | 12d ago |
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes | buy | 312.33 | $0.480 | $150 | 13d ago |
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes | sell | 39.1 | $0.850 | $33.24 | 13d ago |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.670 | $67 | 13d ago |
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.910 | $182 | 13d ago |
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?No | buy | 220 | $0.920 | $202.35 | 13d ago |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 91.91 | $0.355 | $32.63 | 13d ago |
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.466 | $46.59 | 13d ago |
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?Yes | buy | 123.34 | $0.120 | $14.8 | 15d ago |
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?Yes | buy | 34.86 | $0.119 | $4.15 | 15d ago |
Will any AI model reach 1600 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 193.01 | $0.239 | $46.13 | 20d ago |
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31?Yes | buy | 183.18 | $0.546 | $100 | 23d ago |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | sell | 184.57 | $0.988 | $182.36 | 23d ago |
Will Alfredo Gaspar be the VP candidate of Flavio Bolsonaro?Yes | buy | 213.9 | $0.935 | $200 | 28d ago |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 2.3K | $0.060 | $137.75 | 28d ago |
Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?Yes | buy | 77.4 | $0.646 | $50 | 28d ago |
Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 312.5 | $0.320 | $100 | 28d ago |
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 162.69 | $0.910 | $148.05 | 28d ago |
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.638 | $63.8 | 28d ago |
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 55 | $0.638 | $35.09 | 28d ago |
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 94.32 | $0.364 | $34.33 | 28d ago |
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 94.32 | $0.373 | $35.18 | 28d ago |
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes | buy | 179.86 | $0.220 | $39.57 | 29d ago |
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes | sell | 54.94 | $0.940 | $51.64 | 29d ago |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 147.06 | $0.340 | $50 | Aug 10, 2026 |
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?No | buy | 277.78 | $0.540 | $150 | Aug 10, 2026 |
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 50 | $0.998 | $49.9 | Aug 7, 2026 |
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes | buy | 54.95 | $0.910 | $50 | Aug 7, 2026 |
Will there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes | buy | 201.32 | $0.745 | $150 | Aug 7, 2026 |
Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 67.76 | $0.933 | $63.24 | Aug 7, 2026 |
Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 70.52 | $0.859 | $60.54 | Aug 7, 2026 |
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 50 | $0.959 | $47.95 | Aug 5, 2026 |
Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?Yes | sell | 128.12 | $0.203 | $26.03 | Aug 5, 2026 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.563 | $28.15 | Aug 5, 2026 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 52.55 | $0.260 | $13.66 | Aug 5, 2026 |
Will at least 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.09 | $0.580 | $2.95 | Aug 5, 2026 |
Will at least 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 6.81 | $0.800 | $5.45 | Aug 5, 2026 |
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2?Yes | buy | 16.54 | $0.520 | $8.6 | Aug 4, 2026 |
Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.238 | $23.8 | Aug 4, 2026 |
Will Alexandre Kalil win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?Yes | buy | 177.57 | $0.254 | $45.1 | Aug 4, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.430 | $43 | Aug 3, 2026 |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 453.78 | $0.441 | $200 | Aug 3, 2026 |