Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 728.17 | $0.122 | $142.36 | +$53.36 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?No | buy | 711.94 | $0.882 | $627.7 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 152.25 |
| $0.750 |
| $137.79 |
| +$23.6 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 125 | $0.800 | $109.38 | +$9.38 |
 Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo | Yes | 400 | $0.250 | $26 | -$74 |
 Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 50 | $0.200 | $3.25 | -$6.75 |
| buy |
| 105.37 |
| $0.949 |
| $100 |
| Feb 22, 2026 |
 US strikes Iraq by February 28?No | buy | 207.58 | $0.963 | $200 | Feb 22, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?No | buy | 832.21 | $0.073 | $61.12 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 728.17 | $0.122 | $89 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 17?Down | buy | 102.04 | $0.490 | $50 | Feb 14, 2026 |
 Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?Yes | buy | 363.55 | $0.275 | $100 | Feb 14, 2026 |
 Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 500 | $0.100 | $50 | Feb 14, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 121.21 | $0.330 | $40 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.020 | $10 | Feb 14, 2026 |
 Government shutdown on Saturday?No | buy | 246.97 | $0.300 | $74.09 | Feb 10, 2026 |
 Will Coca Cola run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?Yes | buy | 111.38 | $0.090 | $10 | Feb 8, 2026 |
 Will Allstate run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.260 | $20 | Feb 8, 2026 |
 Will Apple run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?Yes | buy | 74.07 | $0.270 | $20 | Feb 8, 2026 |
 Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 429.89 | $0.096 | $41.1 | Feb 8, 2026 |
 Will Bill or Hillary Clinton be held in contempt of Congress by Feb 28?No | sell | 196.15 | $0.974 | $191.05 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?No | buy | 420.3 | $0.178 | $74.67 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?Yes | buy | 151.52 | $0.660 | $100 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Bill or Hillary Clinton be held in contempt of Congress by Feb 28?No | buy | 196.16 | $0.510 | $100 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: JanuaryNo | buy | 141.78 | $0.705 | $100 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?Yes | buy | 149.25 | $0.670 | $100 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 299.99 | $0.008 | $2.4 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 294.32 | $0.013 | $3.83 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 302.94 | $0.910 | $275.68 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| US strike on Mexico by December 31?No | buy | 152.25 | $0.750 | $114.19 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?Yes | buy | 158.73 | $0.630 | $100 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?Yes | buy | 204.08 | $0.049 | $10 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?No | sell | 154 | $0.049 | $7.59 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?Yes | sell | 153.84 | $0.947 | $145.69 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will Tim Walz resign by January 31?Yes | buy | 333.54 | $0.030 | $10 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will Tim Walz resign by June 30?Yes | buy | 176.47 | $0.170 | $30 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will Leavitt say "Vanity Fair" during the next White House press briefing?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.090 | $10 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.200 | $10 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Nicolás Maduro released from custody by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 357.14 | $0.014 | $5 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 12, 2026?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.080 | $5 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.480 | $20 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 151.51 | $0.300 | $45.5 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?Yes | sell | 75 | $0.060 | $4.5 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.080 | $6 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 250 | $0.040 | $10 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?No | buy | 154 | $0.132 | $20.3 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?No | sell | 117.23 | $0.963 | $112.89 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?No | sell | 148.14 | $0.520 | $77.01 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 83.75 | $0.120 | $10.05 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 16?Yes | buy | 223.27 | $0.045 | $10 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.200 | $10 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will Khamenei leave Iran by Friday?Yes | buy | 532.63 | $0.019 | $10.12 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 151.52 | $0.330 | $50 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 117.65 | $0.170 | $20 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 214.29 | $0.070 | $15 | Jan 6, 2026 |