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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | sell | 67.52 | $0.120 | $8.1 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 1.85 |
| $0.005 |
| $0.01 |
| Feb 15, 2026 |
 Will Waymo launch in Nashville by June 30 2026?No | sell | 1.47 | $0.140 | $0.21 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike Gaza on February 16, 2026?No | sell | 15.28 | $0.560 | $8.56 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on February 16, 2026?No | buy | 15.28 | $0.590 | $9.02 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 Tabi FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 1.63 | $0.120 | $0.2 | Feb 12, 2026 |
 Consensys IPO closing market cap above $3B?Yes | sell | 1.33 | $0.240 | $0.32 | Feb 12, 2026 |
 Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?Yes | sell | 1.56 | $0.280 | $0.44 | Feb 12, 2026 |
 Will Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?No | sell | 1.66 | $0.340 | $0.56 | Feb 12, 2026 |
 Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?Yes | sell | 1.85 | $0.330 | $0.61 | Feb 12, 2026 |
 Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?No | sell | 1.92 | $0.460 | $0.88 | Feb 12, 2026 |
 Did a crypto hedge fund blow up?Yes | sell | 1.72 | $0.560 | $0.96 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Did a crypto hedge fund blow up?Yes | buy | 1.72 | $0.580 | $1 | Feb 12, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Israel" 13+ times during meeting with Netanyahu?No | sell | 1.66 | $0.567 | $0.94 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Israel" 13+ times during meeting with Netanyahu?No | buy | 1.67 | $0.600 | $1 | Feb 10, 2026 |
 SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?Yes | sell | 1.85 | $0.490 | $0.91 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?Yes | buy | 1.85 | $0.540 | $1 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 Trump approval Up or Down this week?Down | sell | 1.72 | $0.540 | $0.93 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Trump approval Up or Down this week?Down | buy | 1.72 | $0.580 | $1 | Feb 8, 2026 |
 Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?Yes | sell | 1.7 | $0.560 | $0.95 | Feb 7, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.69 | $0.590 | $1 | Feb 7, 2026 |
 Will Chris Dudley win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?No | sell | 1.49 | $0.630 | $0.94 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Will Chris Dudley win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?No | buy | 1.49 | $0.670 | $1 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 Will the UK designate the IRGC a terrorist organization by June 30?No | sell | 1.51 | $0.610 | $0.92 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during the announcement on Thursday?Yes | buy | 1.49 | $0.670 | $1 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Will Sam Darnold win the Super Bowl LX MVP?No | sell | 1.75 | $0.560 | $0.98 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will Sam Darnold win the Super Bowl LX MVP?No | buy | 1.75 | $0.570 | $1 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.66 | $0.580 | $0.96 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.67 | $0.600 | $1 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Databricks IPO before 2027?Yes | sell | 1.72 | $0.480 | $0.83 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?No | buy | 1.67 | $0.600 | $1 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?Yes | sell | 1.66 | $0.550 | $0.91 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.67 | $0.600 | $1 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?No | sell | 1.85 | $0.560 | $1.04 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Databricks IPO before 2027?Yes | buy | 1.72 | $0.580 | $1 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will Lisa Murkowski vote "Yea" on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.69 | $0.550 | $0.93 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will Lisa Murkowski vote "Yea" on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.69 | $0.590 | $1 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?No | sell | 1.85 | $0.520 | $0.96 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?No | buy | 1.85 | $0.540 | $1 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.66 | $0.580 | $0.96 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?No | buy | 1.85 | $0.540 | $1 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?Yes | sell | 1.82 | $0.530 | $0.96 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 Will LDP win a majority in the 2026 Japanese snap election?No | buy | 1.85 | $0.540 | $1 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 Will the Los Angeles Rams be eliminated in the Conference Championship Round?Yes | sell | 1.78 | $0.540 | $0.96 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Will the Los Angeles Rams be eliminated in the Conference Championship Round?Yes | buy | 1.79 | $0.560 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Will Dan Koe win the X $1M article prize?No | sell | 1.66 | $0.620 | $1.03 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.67 | $0.600 | $1 | Jan 24, 2026 |
 TrumpRX launched by January 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.66 | $0.810 | $1.34 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| Will Dan Koe win the X $1M article prize?No | buy | 1.67 | $0.600 | $1 | Jan 23, 2026 |
 Will Epstein Data Set 9 be released before March?Yes | sell | 1.75 | $0.570 | $1 | Jan 22, 2026 |