Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 7.14 | $0.997 | $7.12 | Dec 10, 2025 |
|
| buy |
| 157.71 |
| $0.999 |
| $157.55 |
| Dec 7, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 170.3 | $0.984 | $167.58 | Nov 20, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 168 | $0.015 | $2.52 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 172.53 | $0.994 | $171.49 | Oct 26, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 255.54 | $0.933 | $238.42 | Sep 15, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?No | sell | 591.26 | $0.530 | $313.43 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?No | buy | 2.12 | $0.998 | $2.12 | Jul 29, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?No | buy | 591.27 | $0.138 | $81.61 | Jul 9, 2025 |
 Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?No | sell | 96.49 | $0.840 | $81.05 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?No | buy | 96.49 | $0.972 | $93.79 | Jun 21, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?No | buy | 91.28 | $0.998 | $91.1 | Jun 18, 2025 |
 Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 83.34 | $0.995 | $82.92 | Jun 16, 2025 |
| Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 83.34 | $0.996 | $83.01 | Jun 15, 2025 |
 Will Aston Martin be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | sell | 78.24 | $0.997 | $78.01 | Jun 14, 2025 |
| Will Aston Martin be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | buy | 78.25 | $0.998 | $78.09 | Jun 13, 2025 |
 Will SOCDEM win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | sell | 93.06 | $0.997 | $92.78 | Jun 12, 2025 |
| Will SOCDEM win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | buy | 93.07 | $0.998 | $92.88 | Jun 11, 2025 |
 Will Captain America: Brave New World be the top grossing movie of 2025?No | sell | 83.78 | $0.996 | $83.44 | Jun 10, 2025 |
| Will Captain America: Brave New World be the top grossing movie of 2025?No | buy | 83.78 | $0.997 | $83.53 | Jun 9, 2025 |
 Will Scott Stringer win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | sell | 91.37 | $0.999 | $91.28 | Jun 8, 2025 |
 Will a dozen eggs be between $5.75-6.00 in May?No | buy | 3.76 | $0.999 | $3.76 | Jun 8, 2025 |
| Will Scott Stringer win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | buy | 91.37 | $0.999 | $91.28 | Jun 7, 2025 |
 Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 83.25 | $0.993 | $82.67 | Jun 5, 2025 |
| Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 83.26 | $0.995 | $82.84 | Jun 4, 2025 |
 Will Přísaha win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | sell | 86.38 | $0.995 | $85.95 | May 31, 2025 |
 Will Solana dip to $120 in May?No | buy | 2.16 | $0.999 | $2.16 | May 30, 2025 |
| Will Přísaha win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | buy | 86.39 | $0.996 | $86.04 | May 29, 2025 |
 Will XRP dip to $1.00 in May?No | buy | 4.26 | $0.999 | $4.26 | May 28, 2025 |
 Will Sauber be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | sell | 95.37 | $0.997 | $95.08 | May 26, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet less than 100 times May 23–30?No | buy | 2.36 | $0.993 | $2.34 | May 26, 2025 |
| Will Sauber be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | buy | 95.37 | $0.998 | $95.18 | May 23, 2025 |
 Will Whitney Tilson win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | sell | 96.02 | $0.998 | $95.83 | May 22, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 325–349 times May 16–23?No | buy | 1.47 | $0.999 | $1.47 | May 21, 2025 |
| Will Whitney Tilson win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | buy | 96.03 | $0.999 | $95.93 | May 19, 2025 |
 Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2025?No | buy | 8.76 | $0.997 | $8.73 | May 15, 2025 |
 Will Armenia win Eurovision 2025?No | buy | 73.03 | $0.999 | $72.96 | May 14, 2025 |
 Will Finland qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes | buy | 1.59 | $0.992 | $1.58 | May 11, 2025 |
 Will Ritchie Torres win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | sell | 94.08 | $0.996 | $93.7 | May 11, 2025 |
| Will Ritchie Torres win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | buy | 94.09 | $0.998 | $93.9 | May 9, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 325–349 times May 2–9?No | buy | 2.23 | $0.998 | $2.23 | May 8, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 16.32 | $0.984 | $16.06 | May 7, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?No | buy | 6.55 | $0.984 | $6.45 | May 4, 2025 |
 Will Liam Lawson be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | sell | 35.46 | $0.997 | $35.35 | May 4, 2025 |
 Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | sell | 61.17 | $0.997 | $60.99 | May 4, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 250–274 times April 25–May 2?No | buy | 1.46 | $0.999 | $1.46 | May 1, 2025 |
| Will Liam Lawson be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | buy | 35.46 | $0.998 | $35.39 | Apr 29, 2025 |
| Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | buy | 61.17 | $0.998 | $61.05 | Apr 29, 2025 |
| Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | sell | 73.81 | $0.997 | $73.59 | Apr 29, 2025 |
 Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.994 | $1.08 | Apr 27, 2025 |