Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 33.56 | $0.149 | $5 | May 16, 2026 |
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| sell |
| 28.57 |
| $0.015 |
| $0.43 |
| Mar 23, 2026 |
Will Iran strike Lebanon in March?Yes | sell | 14.32 | $0.392 | $5.61 | Mar 23, 2026 |
Will Iran strike Lebanon in March?Yes | buy | 2.39 | $0.418 | $1 | Mar 22, 2026 |
Will Iran strike Lebanon in March?Yes | buy | 11.93 | $0.419 | $5 | Mar 22, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.280 | $4 | Mar 22, 2026 |
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.54 | $0.260 | $3 | Mar 21, 2026 |
Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to ScoreYes | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | Mar 17, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.035 | $1 | Mar 17, 2026 |
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 13?Yes | sell | 8.24 | $0.032 | $0.26 | Mar 12, 2026 |
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 13?Yes | buy | 2.86 | $0.350 | $1 | Mar 12, 2026 |
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 13?Yes | buy | 5.39 | $0.557 | $3 | Mar 12, 2026 |
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | buy | 20.17 | $0.099 | $2 | Mar 12, 2026 |
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 17.39 | $0.460 | $8 | Mar 11, 2026 |
Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 29.41 | $0.370 | $10.88 | Mar 11, 2026 |
Will any European country expel an Israeli ambassador by March 31?Yes | buy | 11.99 | $0.083 | $1 | Mar 11, 2026 |
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Yes | buy | 46.51 | $0.043 | $2 | Mar 11, 2026 |
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 24.7 | $0.240 | $5.93 | Mar 11, 2026 |
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes | buy | 9.4 | $0.319 | $3 | Mar 11, 2026 |
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.480 | $2 | Mar 11, 2026 |
Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to ScoreYes | buy | 3.17 | $0.630 | $2 | Mar 10, 2026 |
Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5Over | buy | 5.26 | $0.430 | $2.26 | Mar 10, 2026 |
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.988 | $1 | Mar 10, 2026 |
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 42.17 | $0.197 | $8.29 | Mar 9, 2026 |
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?Yes | buy | 10.53 | $0.190 | $2 | Mar 9, 2026 |
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?Yes | buy | 7.41 | $0.540 | $4 | Mar 9, 2026 |
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Mar 9, 2026 |
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?Yes | buy | 21.05 | $0.190 | $4 | Mar 9, 2026 |
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?No | buy | 2.78 | $0.720 | $2 | Mar 9, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 8:00PM-8:05PM ETUp | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Mar 9, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 7:55PM-8:00PM ETDown | buy | 1.18 | $0.839 | $0.99 | Mar 8, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 7:50PM-7:55PM ETUp | buy | 1.34 | $0.730 | $0.98 | Mar 8, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 7:45PM-7:50PM ETDown | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Mar 8, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 7:45PM-7:50PM ETDown | buy | 1.23 | $0.800 | $0.99 | Mar 8, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 7:45PM-7:50PM ETDown | buy | 1.65 | $0.590 | $0.97 | Mar 8, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 7:40PM-7:45PM ETDown | buy | 1.09 | $0.919 | $1 | Mar 8, 2026 |
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?Yes | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Mar 8, 2026 |
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 6.85 | $0.730 | $5 | Mar 8, 2026 |
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-07?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.380 | $2 | Mar 7, 2026 |
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 9?Yes | buy | 8.51 | $0.470 | $4 | Mar 7, 2026 |
Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?Yes | sell | 333.33 | $0.010 | $3.33 | Mar 6, 2026 |
Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.060 | $20 | Mar 6, 2026 |
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?Yes | buy | 22.22 | $0.900 | $20 | Mar 6, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 2:10PM-2:15PM ETUp | buy | 1.25 | $0.789 | $0.99 | Mar 6, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 2:05PM-2:10PM ETUp | buy | 1.18 | $0.840 | $0.99 | Mar 6, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 2:05PM-2:10PM ETUp | buy | 1.62 | $0.599 | $0.97 | Mar 6, 2026 |
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-07?Yes | buy | 14.51 | $0.689 | $10 | Mar 6, 2026 |
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?Yes | buy | 9.32 | $0.429 | $4 | Mar 6, 2026 |
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?Yes | sell | 41.66 | $0.090 | $3.75 | Mar 6, 2026 |
Will Trump visit China by April 30?No | sell | 52.63 | $0.130 | $6.84 | Mar 6, 2026 |