Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump’s approval rating be 44.0–44.4% on August 1?No | buy | 88.95 | $0.012 | $1.1 | Aug 2, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 7.32 |
| $0.410 |
| $3 |
| Aug 2, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $115K and $116K on August 2 at 5PM ET?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.100 | $1.5 | Aug 2, 2025 |
 XRP above $3.10 on August 1?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Aug 1, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $117K and $118K on August 1 at 5PM ET?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Aug 1, 2025 |
| Bitcoin above $114,000 on August 1?No | buy | 7.04 | $0.142 | $1 | Aug 1, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $118K on August 1?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Aug 1, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Udachne before August?Yes | sell | 34.48 | $0.016 | $0.55 | Jul 31, 2025 |
 Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Argentina in July?No | buy | 2.14 | $0.700 | $1.5 | Jul 31, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 150–164 times July 25–August 1?Yes | buy | 5.41 | $0.370 | $2 | Jul 31, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $118K and $119K on July 31 at 5PM ET?Yes | buy | 5.86 | $0.290 | $1.7 | Jul 31, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Udachne before August?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.029 | $1 | Jul 30, 2025 |
 Will Trump's approval rating hit 43% before August?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.016 | $1 | Jul 30, 2025 |
 Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% before August?Yes | buy | 199.14 | $0.005 | $1 | Jul 30, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?Yes | sell | 9.09 | $0.230 | $2.09 | Jul 30, 2025 |
 Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 252.5 | $0.004 | $1 | Jul 30, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI have the top AI model on July 31?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.023 | $1 | Jul 30, 2025 |
| Bitcoin above $118,000 on July 30?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.520 | $4 | Jul 30, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $118K and $119K on July 30 at 5PM ET?Yes | buy | 6.82 | $0.220 | $1.5 | Jul 30, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.220 | $2 | Jul 29, 2025 |
 Ukraine hits Moscow by July 31?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Jul 29, 2025 |
 Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during July Press Conference?No | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Jul 29, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Trump" during July Press Conference?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Jul 29, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during July Press Conference?No | buy | 53.51 | $0.019 | $1 | Jul 29, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $118K and $119K on July 29 at 5PM ET?Yes | buy | 5.17 | $0.290 | $1.5 | Jul 29, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $117K and $118K on July 29 at 5PM ET?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.180 | $1.5 | Jul 29, 2025 |
 Will Dogecoin reach $0.38 in July?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | Jul 29, 2025 |