Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 3.71 | $0.808 | $3.16 | +$0.16 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 4:50AM-4:55AM ETUp | buy | 18.87 | $0.530 | $10 | Aug 9, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 14.29 |
| $0.210 |
| $2.21 |
| -$0.79 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 8.62 | $0.580 | $1.42 | -$3.58 |
| Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 15.15 | $0.066 | $0.65 | -$0.35 |
| buy |
| 100 |
| $0.010 |
| $1 |
| Aug 9, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 4:45AM-4:50AM ETDown | buy | 250 | $0.020 | $5 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 4:45AM-4:50AM ETDown | buy | 25 | $0.200 | $5 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 15.15 | $0.066 | $1 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 3.71 | $0.808 | $3 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 6:25AM-6:30AM ETUp | buy | 1.67 | $0.600 | $1 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 6:20AM-6:25AM ETUp | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Ethereum Up or Down - August 2, 6:20AM-6:25AM ETUp | buy | 20.67 | $0.048 | $1 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - August 2, 6:20AM-6:25AM ETUp | buy | 29.22 | $0.034 | $1 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 6:20AM-6:25AM ETUp | buy | 25 | $0.040 | $1 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 6:20AM-6:25AM ETUp | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 6:20AM-6:25AM ETUp | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 6:20AM-6:25AM ETUp | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 6:15AM-6:20AM ETUp | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on August 2?Up | buy | 6.47 | $0.772 | $5 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 6.61 | $0.757 | $5 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?No | buy | 21.74 | $0.460 | $10 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Melania" this week?Yes | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "First Lady" this week?Yes | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "No No No" this week?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.750 | $3 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.780 | $3 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will "People" be said 100+ times during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of July 27?Yes | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Yes | buy | 47.62 | $0.063 | $3 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.016 | $2 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Total Internet Blackout in Iran by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.270 | $3 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will Trump praise Benjamin Netanyahu by July 31?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.690 | $3 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Netanyahu hug on Tuesday?Yes | buy | 18.52 | $0.270 | $5 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.050 | $3 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Israel military action against Yemen by July 31?Yes | buy | 23.26 | $0.043 | $1 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Israel military action against Yemen by July 31?Yes | buy | 23.81 | $0.042 | $1 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Hengam Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Yes | buy | 79.25 | $0.063 | $5 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.170 | $5 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 8.62 | $0.580 | $5 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.064 | $2 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Yes | buy | 46.88 | $0.064 | $3 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 11.76 | $0.850 | $10 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.210 | $3 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?Yes | buy | 10.81 | $0.320 | $3.46 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ETDown | buy | 16.47 | $0.297 | $4.89 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 XRP Up or Down - March 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ETDown | buy | 3.5 | $0.280 | $0.98 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| XRP Up or Down - March 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ETDown | buy | 3.5 | $0.280 | $0.98 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?Yes | buy | 9.38 | $0.320 | $3 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?Yes | sell | 11.11 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.080 | $4 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?Yes | buy | 10.53 | $0.190 | $2 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 21 to February 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 10.1 | $0.310 | $3.13 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 6:40AM-6:45AM ETUp | sell | 3.87 | $0.040 | $0.15 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 6:40AM-6:45AM ETUp | buy | 2.31 | $0.420 | $0.97 | Feb 23, 2026 |