Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes | 43.28 | $0.116 | $33.54 | +$28.54 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Marco Rubio enter Iran by June 30?Yes | sell | 126.5 | $0.040 | $5.06 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 200 |
| $0.047 |
| $15.7 |
| +$6.3 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 100 | $0.250 | $14.4 | -$10.6 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 20 | $0.250 | $4.85 | -$0.15 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 30 | $0.180 | $2.18 | -$3.23 |
 Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 200 | $0.025 | $1 | -$4 |
| sell |
| 200 |
| $0.040 |
| $8 |
| Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.088 | $8.75 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.140 | $14 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.050 | $10 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Trump's face on US gold coin by July 4?No | buy | 10 | $0.470 | $4.7 | Mar 21, 2026 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?No | buy | 100 | $0.257 | $25.7 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?No | buy | 100 | $0.311 | $31.1 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?No | buy | 200 | $0.080 | $15.98 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No | sell | 100 | $0.400 | $40 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Government shutdown on Saturday?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.015 | $3 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.180 | $5.4 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.250 | $5 | Feb 14, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?Yes | sell | 499.99 | $0.025 | $12.5 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 8, 2026?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.004 | $2 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.014 | $7 | Feb 7, 2026 |
 Will Bill or Hillary Clinton be held in contempt of Congress by Feb 28?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.010 | $2 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.050 | $10 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Will the next government funding bill be passed on January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 172.51 | $0.001 | $0.17 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will no government funding bill be passed by January 31, 2026?No | sell | 199.97 | $0.002 | $0.4 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will annual inflation increase by 2.9% in January?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.017 | $0.86 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Was Ilhan Omar sprayed with bacon grease?Yes | sell | 499.99 | $0.010 | $5.18 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | sell | 600 | $0.018 | $10.8 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?Yes | sell | 400 | $0.007 | $2.8 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.004 | $0.8 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.019 | $5.7 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.028 | $8.4 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 Insurrection Act invoked by January 31?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.070 | $28 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.010 | $3 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 151.89 | $0.012 | $1.82 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.120 | $24 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Fact Check: is L.A. U-Haul attack perp a U.S. Citizen?No | sell | 22 | $0.250 | $5.5 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.220 | $2.2 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.060 | $6 | Dec 31, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.120 | $12 | Dec 26, 2025 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?No | sell | 30 | $0.460 | $13.8 | Dec 26, 2025 |
 Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Dec 24, 2025 |
 Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?No | sell | 300 | $0.004 | $1.2 | Dec 24, 2025 |
 Enhanced ACA premium tax credits extended in 2025?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.003 | $0.5 | Dec 24, 2025 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.047 | $9.4 | Dec 24, 2025 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.230 | $9.2 | Dec 24, 2025 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 30 | $0.430 | $12.9 | Dec 24, 2025 |
 Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?No | buy | 700 | $0.003 | $2.1 | Dec 21, 2025 |
 Weed rescheduled in 2025?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.018 | $5.4 | Dec 18, 2025 |
| Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?No | buy | 300 | $0.016 | $4.8 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Will 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.012 | $6 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.003 | $3 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.021 | $10.55 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?Yes | buy | 47.77 | $0.014 | $0.67 | Dec 13, 2025 |