Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 769.23 | $0.130 | $29.62 | -$70.38 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 250 | $0.200 | $50 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 362.32 |
| $0.138 |
| $50 |
| Feb 18, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 190.66 | $0.524 | $100 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on February 3?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.010 | $5 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,450 by end of February?Yes | buy | 88.29 | $0.317 | $28 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 3?Yes | buy | 384.18 | $0.195 | $75 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?Yes | buy | 357.14 | $0.140 | $50 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 769.23 | $0.130 | $100 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 Maduro mugshot released by January 9?Yes | buy | 116.58 | $0.429 | $50 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 Maduro out by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 650 | $0.995 | $646.75 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Maduro out by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 650 | $0.100 | $65 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Maduro out by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 37.74 | $0.530 | $20 | Dec 29, 2025 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 10.71 | $0.560 | $6 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Will the Australian hero donation campaign raise between $2.5 million and $2.75 million by December 16?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.550 | $5 | Dec 16, 2025 |