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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 106.38 | $0.997 | $106.06 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 65.21 |
| $0.220 |
| $14.35 |
| Jan 6, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 43.47 | $0.670 | $29.12 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 90.83 | $0.989 | $89.83 | Dec 23, 2025 |
 Will All I Want For Christmas Is You - Mariah Carey be the #1 song on Spotify this week?Yes | buy | 32.22 | $0.621 | $20 | Dec 21, 2025 |
 Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?Yes | sell | 44.77 | $0.975 | $43.65 | Dec 21, 2025 |
| Will All I Want For Christmas Is You - Mariah Carey be the #1 song on Spotify this week?Yes | buy | 41.86 | $0.660 | $27.63 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 Bitcoin outperforms S&P 500 in December?No | buy | 71.43 | $0.700 | $50 | Dec 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 106.38 | $0.470 | $50 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?Yes | buy | 44.78 | $0.670 | $30 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 14.49 | $0.690 | $10 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 28.99 | $0.690 | $20 | Dec 12, 2025 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?No | sell | 187.37 | $0.999 | $187.18 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 65.22 | $0.230 | $15 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 74.62 | $0.207 | $15.42 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 90.83 | $0.660 | $59.95 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 76.47 | $0.510 | $39 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 98.04 | $0.510 | $50 | Nov 17, 2025 |
| No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 74.63 | $0.670 | $50 | Nov 15, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 110.91 | $0.550 | $61 | Nov 14, 2025 |