Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US strikes Iran by February 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 17.24 | $0.058 | $1 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 11.11 |
| $0.100 |
| $1.11 |
| Jan 17, 2026 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 14?Yes | buy | 222.61 | $0.108 | $23.95 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 14?Yes | sell | 43.47 | $0.025 | $1.09 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | sell | 5.26 | $0.220 | $1.16 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Human moon landing in 2026?Yes | sell | 37.35 | $0.048 | $1.81 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?Yes | sell | 34.25 | $0.091 | $3.12 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.94 | $0.126 | $1 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Will Tesla release Optimus by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 25.97 | $0.077 | $2 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?Yes | sell | 33.33 | $0.040 | $1.33 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?Yes | sell | 6.02 | $0.090 | $0.54 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on January 14?Yes | sell | 142.85 | $0.003 | $0.43 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 14?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.023 | $1 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on January 14?Yes | buy | 542.53 | $0.002 | $1 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on January 14?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.007 | $1 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum reach $4,600 in January?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.015 | $1 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.038 | $1 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.02 | $0.166 | $1 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.114 | $3 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by January 31?Yes | sell | 70.7 | $0.034 | $2.4 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q1 2026Yes | buy | 70.81 | $0.028 | $2 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will Tesla deliver between 475000 and 500000 vehicles in Q1 2026Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.009 | $1 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?Yes | sell | 34.7 | $0.629 | $21.83 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will Tesla deliver 500000 or more vehicles in Q1 2026Yes | buy | 74.66 | $0.013 | $1 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will Tesla deliver 500000 or more vehicles in Q1 2026Yes | buy | 94.55 | $0.011 | $1 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Will Deutsche Bank or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.012 | $1 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Will UBS or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.080 | $8 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.36 | $0.176 | $2 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Human moon landing in 2026?Yes | buy | 37.35 | $0.054 | $2 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Will Meta acquire TikTok?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.046 | $2 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Will the US strike Yemen next?Yes | buy | 14.93 | $0.067 | $1 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by January 31?Yes | sell | 16.66 | $0.060 | $1 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.029 | $1 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.007 | $1 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by January 31?Yes | buy | 15.15 | $0.066 | $1 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?Yes | sell | 1.49 | $0.660 | $0.98 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?Yes | sell | 20.8 | $0.047 | $0.98 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31?Yes | sell | 22.72 | $0.040 | $0.91 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?Yes | sell | 33.16 | $0.016 | $0.53 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk / X (Twitter) acquire TikTok?Yes | buy | 50.78 | $0.020 | $1 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes | sell | 14.47 | $0.750 | $10.85 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 12, 2026?Yes | sell | 7.14 | $0.060 | $0.43 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Iran coup attempt by June 30?Yes | sell | 2.32 | $0.420 | $0.97 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?Yes | sell | 3.57 | $0.270 | $0.96 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Nicolás Maduro released from custody by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.14K | $0.011 | $12.27 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | sell | 577.77 | $0.080 | $46.39 | Jan 11, 2026 |