Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 214.85 | $0.233 | $67.68 | +$17.68 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Jair Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Yes | buy | 172.51 | $0.024 | $4.1 | 2d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 265.38 |
| $0.188 |
| $43.39 |
| -$6.61 |
 U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada" before 2027? | Yes | 289.47 | $0.173 | $39.08 | -$10.92 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Washington in 2026? | Yes | 147.3 | $0.250 | $34.62 | -$2.21 |
 US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by September 30? | Yes | 517.53 | $0.097 | $33.64 | -$16.36 |
 SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 191.5 | $0.197 | $31.6 | -$6.14 |
 Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027? | Yes | 490.91 | $0.102 | $22.09 | -$27.91 |
 Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 110.72 | $0.090 | $20.26 | +$10.26 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Lebanon in 2026? | Yes | 542.86 | $0.055 | $19 | -$11 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 79.74 | $0.251 | $13.16 | -$6.84 |
 Anthropic IPO before 2027? | Yes | 15.23 | $0.657 | $12.8 | +$2.79 |
 Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? | Yes | 62.5 | $0.160 | $10.94 | +$0.94 |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Japan" before 2027? | Yes | 132.12 | $0.151 | $8.59 | -$11.41 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 15.87 | $0.630 | $8.17 | -$1.83 |
 U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027? | Yes | 114.13 | $0.088 | $7.99 | -$2.01 |
 OpenAI IPO before 2027? | Yes | 150 | $0.200 | $7.43 | -$22.58 |
 Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027? | Yes | 17.67 | $0.566 | $7.13 | -$2.87 |
 Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 111.11 | $0.090 | $6.06 | -$3.94 |
 Bank of England rate hike in 2026? | Yes | 7.33 | $0.200 | $6.01 | +$4.54 |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Indonesia" before 2027? | Yes | 34.48 | $0.290 | $5.52 | -$4.48 |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027? | Yes | 32.26 | $0.310 | $5.06 | -$4.94 |
 Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? | Yes | 22.22 | $0.450 | $5 | -$5 |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Mexico" before 2027? | Yes | 42.38 | $0.236 | $4.66 | -$5.34 |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union" before 2027? | Yes | 59.85 | $0.167 | $4.16 | -$5.84 |
 Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 55.46 | $0.180 | $4.02 | -$5.98 |
| buy |
| 265.38 |
| $0.188 |
| $50 |
| 6d ago |
| Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 214.85 | $0.233 | $50 | 8d ago |
| US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by September 30?Yes | buy | 517.53 | $0.097 | $50 | 8d ago |
 Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" in 2026?Yes | sell | 247.39 | $0.940 | $232.55 | 15d ago |
 Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in August?Yes | buy | 374.87 | $0.133 | $50 | 16d ago |
| Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" in 2026?Yes | buy | 247.39 | $0.202 | $50 | 16d ago |
| US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?Yes | buy | 1.17K | $0.043 | $50 | 19d ago |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada" before 2027?Yes | buy | 289.47 | $0.173 | $50 | 20d ago |
| SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 191.5 | $0.197 | $37.74 | 23d ago |
 Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.38K | $0.015 | $50 | 25d ago |
 Will Trump speak to Kim Jong Un in August?Yes | buy | 252.26 | $0.198 | $50 | 26d ago |
 Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.57K | $0.032 | $50 | 26d ago |
 Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Todd Blanche as Attorney General?Yes | buy | 1.18K | $0.042 | $50 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will 51 senators vote "Yea" for Todd Blanche as Attorney General?Yes | buy | 449.21 | $0.111 | $50 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?Yes | buy | 490.91 | $0.102 | $50 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will Etsy (ETSY) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 17.88 | $0.398 | $7.12 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Situational Awareness Anthropic sale confirmed by August 31?Yes | buy | 837.35 | $0.060 | $50 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump visit Washington in 2026?Yes | buy | 147.3 | $0.250 | $36.83 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9?Yes | buy | 921.66 | $0.054 | $50 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will Shein's closing IPO market cap be at least 300B HKD?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.200 | $50 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 384.62 | $0.130 | $50 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will Virtu Financial (VIRT) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 727.27 | $0.224 | $163.27 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will Woodward (WWD) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 284.19 | $0.229 | $64.96 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will S&P Global (SPGI) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 454 | $0.219 | $99.33 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 230.77 | $0.130 | $30 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.200 | $30 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump visit Lebanon in 2026?Yes | buy | 542.86 | $0.055 | $30 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?Yes | sell | 12.5 | $0.810 | $10.13 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.180 | $30 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | sell | 115.83 | $0.661 | $76.56 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 52.0 and 54.9 in July?Yes | sell | 50.32 | $0.562 | $28.27 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 52.0 and 54.9 in July?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.580 | $20 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 52.0 and 54.9 in July?Yes | buy | 15.84 | $0.200 | $3.17 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Will Databricks have the second highest private market valuation on July 31?Yes | buy | 96.15 | $0.052 | $5 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will Databricks have the second highest private market valuation on July 31?Yes | buy | 105 | $0.055 | $5.74 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 500.25 | $0.060 | $30 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?Yes | buy | 59.56 | $0.168 | $10 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.160 | $10 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?Yes | buy | 36 | $0.200 | $7.2 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 93.64 | $0.107 | $10 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 833.33 | $0.012 | $10 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Japan" before 2027?Yes | buy | 93.66 | $0.107 | $10 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | buy | 115.83 | $0.086 | $10 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.090 | $10 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.160 | $10 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Will Trump fly in original Air Force 1 again this month?Yes | buy | 53.47 | $0.187 | $10 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 110.72 | $0.090 | $10 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?Yes | buy | 114.13 | $0.088 | $10 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Bank of England rate hike in 2026?Yes | buy | 7.33 | $0.200 | $1.47 | Jul 8, 2026 |