Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Andrew Cuomo drop out?Yes | buy | 18.57 | $0.070 | $1.3 | Sep 4, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 5.48 |
| $0.730 |
| $4 |
| Sep 4, 2025 |
 Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?Yes | buy | 18.97 | $0.580 | $11 | Sep 4, 2025 |
 Will Eric Adams drop out?No | buy | 11.16 | $0.640 | $7.14 | Sep 3, 2025 |
 Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?No | sell | 8.71 | $0.820 | $7.14 | Sep 3, 2025 |
| Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?No | buy | 8.72 | $0.740 | $6.45 | Aug 19, 2025 |
 Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes | buy | 31.3 | $0.500 | $15.65 | Mar 24, 2025 |
 Will Peter Dutton be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the 2025 election?Yes | sell | 15.25 | $0.580 | $8.84 | Mar 14, 2025 |
| Will Peter Dutton be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the 2025 election?Yes | buy | 15.25 | $0.590 | $9 | Mar 13, 2025 |
| Will Peter Dutton be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the 2025 election?Yes | buy | 15.25 | $0.590 | $9 | Mar 13, 2025 |
 Will the SPD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?Yes | sell | 9.74 | $0.610 | $5.94 | Jan 27, 2025 |
 Will Anthony Albanese be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the 2025 election?Yes | sell | 10.91 | $0.320 | $3.49 | Jan 27, 2025 |
| Will Anthony Albanese be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the 2025 election?Yes | buy | 10.91 | $0.340 | $3.71 | Jan 26, 2025 |
 Canada election called before April?No | sell | 10.31 | $0.360 | $3.71 | Jan 26, 2025 |
| Will the SPD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 9.74 | $0.540 | $5.26 | Jan 17, 2025 |
 Pete Hegseth confirmed as Secretary of Defense?Yes | sell | 5.75 | $0.916 | $5.27 | Jan 17, 2025 |
 Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE before July?Yes | sell | 14.28 | $0.190 | $2.71 | Jan 12, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31?Yes | sell | 12.19 | $0.520 | $6.34 | Jan 12, 2025 |
 Bernie Sanders votes to confirm Tulsi Gabbard?No | sell | 5.27 | $0.777 | $4.09 | Jan 12, 2025 |
| Canada election called before April?No | buy | 10.31 | $0.320 | $3.3 | Jan 6, 2025 |
| Bernie Sanders votes to confirm Tulsi Gabbard?No | buy | 5.28 | $0.758 | $4 | Jan 6, 2025 |
| Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE before July?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.210 | $3 | Jan 6, 2025 |
| Pete Hegseth confirmed as Secretary of Defense?Yes | buy | 5.75 | $0.870 | $5 | Jan 6, 2025 |
 Will Trudeau resign by Wednesday?Yes | buy | 12.64 | $0.870 | $11 | Jan 6, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31?Yes | buy | 12.2 | $0.410 | $5 | Jan 6, 2025 |
| Will the SPD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?Yes | sell | 35.71 | $0.140 | $5 | Dec 30, 2024 |
| Pete Hegseth confirmed as Secretary of Defense?Yes | sell | 1.31 | $0.740 | $0.97 | Dec 30, 2024 |
 Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days?Yes | sell | 2.59 | $0.610 | $1.58 | Dec 30, 2024 |
 Will the U.S. remove HTS from terror list before March?Yes | sell | 2.43 | $0.370 | $0.9 | Dec 30, 2024 |
 Will Syria hold national elections before July?No | sell | 1.23 | $0.880 | $1.08 | Dec 30, 2024 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?No | sell | 12.44 | $0.994 | $12.37 | Dec 30, 2024 |
 Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February?No | sell | 4.23 | $0.670 | $2.83 | Dec 30, 2024 |
| Pete Hegseth confirmed as Secretary of Defense?Yes | buy | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1 | Dec 28, 2024 |
 Mike Johnson out as Speaker before inauguration?No | sell | 1.38 | $0.730 | $1.01 | Dec 28, 2024 |
| Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February?No | buy | 4.24 | $0.590 | $2.5 | Dec 25, 2024 |
| Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 2.6 | $0.770 | $2 | Dec 22, 2024 |
| Will Syria hold national elections before July?No | buy | 1.23 | $0.810 | $1 | Dec 22, 2024 |
| Will the U.S. remove HTS from terror list before March?Yes | buy | 2.44 | $0.410 | $1 | Dec 22, 2024 |
| Mike Johnson out as Speaker before inauguration?No | buy | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1 | Dec 22, 2024 |
| Will the SPD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.140 | $5 | Dec 22, 2024 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?No | buy | 5.78 | $0.580 | $3.35 | Dec 18, 2024 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?No | buy | 6.67 | $0.540 | $3.6 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 Trump's November 26 sentencing pushed back?Yes | sell | 13.75 | $0.730 | $10.04 | Nov 8, 2024 |
| Trump's November 26 sentencing pushed back?Yes | buy | 13.75 | $0.772 | $10.62 | Nov 7, 2024 |
 2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R HouseYes | sell | 9.3 | $0.862 | $8.02 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 House control after 2024 election?Democratic | buy | 7.14 | $0.070 | $0.5 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| House control after 2024 election?Republican | sell | 0.53 | $0.940 | $0.5 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will a Republican win the popular vote and the Presidency?Yes | buy | 10.63 | $0.270 | $2.87 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "border" 20 or more times during Pittsburgh rally on Nov 4?No | buy | 2.87 | $0.470 | $1.35 | Nov 4, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "Vote" 25 or more times during North Carolina rally on Nov 3?Yes | buy | 1.36 | $0.730 | $0.99 | Nov 3, 2024 |