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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 10.51K | $0.980 | $10.3K | Jun 6, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 7.08K |
| $0.971 |
| $6.87K |
| May 4, 2026 |
 MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 4.11K | $0.028 | $115.13 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?No | sell | 6 | $0.986 | $5.92 | Mar 9, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 11.95K | $0.945 | $11.29K | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Will Wintermute be accused of insider trading?No | buy | 10K | $0.950 | $9.5K | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?No | buy | 1.09K | $0.950 | $1.04K | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Will Hannah Spencer win the Gorton and Denton by-election?No | buy | 2.18K | $0.360 | $784.18 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Will Angeliki Stogia - Labour win the Gorton and Denton by-election?Yes | buy | 1.28K | $0.160 | $204.2 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Will Wintermute be accused of insider trading?No | buy | 5.86K | $0.945 | $5.53K | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No | buy | 7.6K | $0.958 | $7.28K | Jan 10, 2026 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 1.94K | $0.410 | $796.29 | Nov 14, 2025 |
 Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?No | buy | 15.4K | $0.930 | $14.32K | Nov 3, 2025 |
| Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?Yes | buy | 2.98K | $0.249 | $741.99 | Oct 28, 2025 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?No | sell | 9.33K | $0.870 | $8.11K | Oct 28, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | sell | 6.72K | $0.870 | $5.85K | Oct 28, 2025 |
| Over 150,000 bidders in the MegaETH public sale?No | sell | 2.83K | $0.966 | $2.74K | Oct 28, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 14.6K | $0.880 | $12.85K | Oct 26, 2025 |
| Over 150,000 bidders in the MegaETH public sale?No | buy | 4.96K | $0.604 | $3K | Oct 26, 2025 |
| Over 150,000 bidders in the MegaETH public sale?No | buy | 20 | $0.550 | $11 | Oct 26, 2025 |
 Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 15.8K | $0.730 | $11.53K | Oct 12, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?No | buy | 9.4K | $0.840 | $7.9K | Sep 4, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | buy | 9.94K | $0.880 | $8.74K | Aug 11, 2025 |
 Will Omar Fateh win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?No | sell | 15K | $0.580 | $8.7K | Aug 11, 2025 |
 China coup attempt in 2025?No | buy | 2.68K | $0.940 | $2.52K | Jul 27, 2025 |
 Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | sell | 590 | $0.020 | $11.8 | Jul 21, 2025 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 8.5K | $0.955 | $8.12K | Jul 21, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.954 | $4.77K | Jul 21, 2025 |
| Will 8+ Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?No | buy | 2.5K | $0.979 | $2.45K | Jul 21, 2025 |
| Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?No | buy | 2.5K | $0.992 | $2.48K | Jul 21, 2025 |
| Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?No | buy | 2.5K | $0.987 | $2.47K | Jul 21, 2025 |
| Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?No | buy | 1.85K | $0.979 | $1.81K | Jul 21, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Yablunivka before August?Yes | buy | 2.36K | $0.424 | $1K | Jul 21, 2025 |
 Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31?No | buy | 7.62K | $0.850 | $6.48K | Jul 21, 2025 |
 Will Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?No | buy | 5.61K | $0.970 | $5.44K | Jul 21, 2025 |
 Israel x Turkey military clash in 2025?No | buy | 1.58K | $0.900 | $1.42K | Jul 21, 2025 |
 Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | sell | 28.63K | $0.923 | $26.43K | Feb 14, 2025 |
| Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | buy | 19.89K | $0.930 | $18.5K | Jan 24, 2025 |
 Will the AFD be part of the next German government?No | sell | 12.01K | $0.900 | $10.81K | Jan 24, 2025 |
| Will the AFD be part of the next German government?No | sell | 17.36K | $0.911 | $15.81K | Jan 24, 2025 |
| Will the AFD be part of the next German government?No | buy | 8.3K | $0.910 | $7.56K | Jan 21, 2025 |
| Will the AFD be part of the next German government?No | buy | 21.07K | $0.900 | $18.97K | Jan 21, 2025 |
 Will Biden finish his term?Yes | buy | 26.52K | $0.940 | $24.93K | Dec 5, 2024 |
 Ethereum all time high in 2024?No | sell | 40K | $0.842 | $33.69K | Nov 20, 2024 |
| Ethereum all time high in 2024?No | buy | 12.6K | $0.850 | $10.71K | Nov 15, 2024 |
 Will a Republican win Vermont Presidential Election?No | sell | 1.49K | $0.982 | $1.47K | Oct 28, 2024 |
 Will a Democrat win Ohio Presidential Election?No | sell | 2.21K | $0.940 | $2.08K | Oct 28, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win Ohio Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 18.74K | $0.940 | $17.62K | Oct 28, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win Ohio Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 2.79K | $0.940 | $2.62K | Oct 16, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win Ohio Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 15.95K | $0.940 | $14.99K | Oct 16, 2024 |