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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 400 | $0.899 | $384.6 | +$25 |
 Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 12.05 | $0.830 | $10 | 27d ago |
 |
| No |
| 200 |
| $0.920 |
| $193.9 |
| +$9.9 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 199.99 | $0.832 | $185.69 | +$19.2 |
 US recession by end of 2026? | No | 200 | $0.830 | $185 | +$19 |
 AI bubble burst in 2026? | No | 125.23 | $0.798 | $111.14 | +$11.14 |
 Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? | No | 106.38 | $0.940 | $103.09 | +$3.09 |
 Modi out by December 31, 2026? | No | 109.92 | $0.910 | $102.94 | +$2.94 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 100 | $0.960 | $97.5 | +$1.5 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 100 | $0.830 | $96.15 | +$13.15 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.820 | $89.5 | +$7.5 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 196.14 | $0.535 | $87.28 | -$17.62 |
 Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? | No | 40 | $0.920 | $39.02 | +$2.22 |
| Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? | No | 20 | $0.710 | $16.5 | +$2.3 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.700 | $12.5 | -$1.5 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 12.05 | $0.830 | $10.3 | +$0.3 |
 Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026? | No | 10 | $0.700 | $9.46 | +$2.46 |
| buy |
| 3.6 |
| $0.710 |
| $2.56 |
| Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?No | sell | 20 | $0.940 | $18.8 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?No | sell | 332.85 | $0.950 | $316.21 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will Robinhood (HOOD) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.780 | $78 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 99.99 | $0.761 | $76.09 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?No | buy | 19.27 | $0.850 | $16.38 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5Over | buy | 14.39 | $0.695 | $10 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.700 | $7 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.824 | $32.96 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 676.57 | $0.956 | $646.8 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will France win on 2026-07-14?Yes | buy | 23.53 | $0.212 | $5 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.900 | $90 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 4:00AM-4:15AM ETDown | buy | 425.29 | $0.039 | $16.78 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 4:00AM-4:15AM ETDown | buy | 5.94K | $0.014 | $83.22 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.800 | $80 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the July decision?Yes | buy | 21.28 | $0.470 | $10 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 11.76 | $0.850 | $10 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| US recession by end of 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.900 | $90 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 131.58 | $0.760 | $100 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.740 | $14.8 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 229.89 | $0.870 | $200 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 107.31 | $0.932 | $100 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 119.05 | $0.840 | $100 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 186.14 | $0.537 | $100 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.800 | $100 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.920 | $92 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.884 | $8.84 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)Ilia Topuria | buy | 21.74 | $0.920 | $20 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)Ilia Topuria | buy | 13.89 | $0.720 | $10 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)Ciryl Gane | buy | 21.28 | $0.470 | $10 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)Josh Hokit | buy | 12.5 | $0.800 | $10 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)Ilia Topuria | buy | 25 | $0.800 | $20 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)Diego Lopes | buy | 33.33 | $0.600 | $20 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Modi out by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 109.92 | $0.910 | $100 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 197.5Over | sell | 56.81 | $0.132 | $7.49 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 197.5Over | buy | 56.82 | $0.880 | $50 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?No | buy | 200 | $0.820 | $164 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Spurs vs. KnicksSpurs | buy | 21.74 | $0.460 | $10 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 196.5Over | buy | 43.96 | $0.910 | $40 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Spurs vs. KnicksSpurs | buy | 106.38 | $0.470 | $50 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Spurs vs. KnicksSpurs | buy | 106.38 | $0.470 | $50 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 196.5Over | buy | 54.43 | $0.919 | $50 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 120.05 | $0.833 | $100 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 194.5Over | buy | 54.95 | $0.910 | $50 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?No | buy | 160.92 | $0.800 | $128.74 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 199.5Over | buy | 56.82 | $0.880 | $50 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 200.5Over | buy | 34.09 | $0.880 | $30 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027?No | buy | 106.38 | $0.940 | $100 | Jun 2, 2026 |