Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes | buy | 87 | $0.050 | $4.35 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 2.64K |
| $0.001 |
| $2.64 |
| Mar 13, 2026 |
 Will "Sinners" win exactly 5 awards at the Oscars?Yes | sell | 4 | $0.230 | $0.92 | Mar 13, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?Yes | sell | 97.56 | $0.017 | $1.67 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Mar 12, 2026 |
 Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 47.61 | $0.022 | $1.05 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?No | buy | 468.33 | $0.018 | $8.43 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?Yes | buy | 97.56 | $0.082 | $8 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?No | buy | 13 | $0.016 | $0.21 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No | buy | 530.61 | $0.019 | $10 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 47.62 | $0.021 | $1 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will "Sinners" win exactly 5 awards at the Oscars?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will "Sinners" win exactly 4 awards at the Oscars?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will "Sinners" win 3 or fewer awards at the Oscars?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will gas hit (High) $3.50 by March 31?No | buy | 312.35 | $0.019 | $6 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Gaza by October 31?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Oct 14, 2025 |
| Israel strikes Gaza by October 31?No | buy | 2K | $0.001 | $2 | Oct 14, 2025 |
| Israel strikes Gaza by October 31?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Oct 14, 2025 |
| Israel strikes Gaza by October 31?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Oct 14, 2025 |
 Will Taylor Swift say "Sabrina" or "Carpenter" during Tonight Show on October 6?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.001 | $2 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 Will Jesus Christ return in 2025?Yes | buy | 133.33 | $0.015 | $2 | Oct 2, 2025 |
 Will Kimmel say "Autism" during return show on September 23?No | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Sep 24, 2025 |
| Will Kimmel say "Autism" during return show on September 23?No | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Sep 24, 2025 |
 Jimmy Kimmel cancelled by September 30?Yes | buy | 114.02 | $0.009 | $1 | Sep 22, 2025 |
 Jimmy Kimmel hosts an episode of "Jimmy Kimmel Live!" by September 30?No | buy | 222.22 | $0.009 | $2 | Sep 22, 2025 |
 New arrests in Charlie Kirk shooting by September 30?Yes | buy | 26.64 | $0.038 | $1 | Sep 22, 2025 |
| New arrests in Charlie Kirk shooting by September 30?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.025 | $2 | Sep 22, 2025 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 4AM ETDown | buy | 3.23 | $0.310 | $1 | Sep 22, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 2AM ETUp | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Sep 22, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 3AM ETUp | buy | 200 | $0.010 | $2 | Sep 22, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 3AM ETUp | buy | 50 | $0.020 | $1 | Sep 22, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 3AM ETUp | buy | 66.67 | $0.030 | $2 | Sep 22, 2025 |
 Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.016 | $1 | Jul 2, 2025 |
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 166.67 | $0.006 | $1.03 | Jul 2, 2025 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?No | buy | 125 | $0.008 | $1 | Jun 28, 2025 |
 Will a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30?Yes | sell | 83 | $0.012 | $1 | Jun 28, 2025 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?No | buy | 250 | $0.008 | $2 | Jun 28, 2025 |
| Will a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30?Yes | sell | 167 | $0.012 | $2 | Jun 28, 2025 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?No | buy | 278.75 | $0.008 | $2.23 | Jun 28, 2025 |
| Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.040 | $2 | Jun 28, 2025 |
 Israel strike on Iran on June 27?Yes | buy | 15.87 | $0.063 | $1 | Jun 27, 2025 |
| Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?Yes | sell | 7 | $0.162 | $1.13 | Jun 27, 2025 |
| Israel strike on Iran on June 26?Yes | buy | 145.31 | $0.014 | $2 | Jun 27, 2025 |
| Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.174 | $1.04 | Jun 26, 2025 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?No | buy | 288 | $0.007 | $2.02 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?Yes | sell | 13 | $0.236 | $3.07 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?No | buy | 185.05 | $0.007 | $1.3 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.216 | $1.08 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?No | buy | 282.06 | $0.007 | $2 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?Yes | buy | 222.22 | $0.009 | $2 | Jun 23, 2025 |