Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 95.5 | $0.540 | $63.51 | +$11.94 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Solana Up or Down - August 26, 4:00PM-8:00PM ETUp | buy | 290.74 | $0.500 | $145.37 | 18d ago |
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Bruised-Break is a public Polymarket wallet indexed by Vultax, ranked #80,914 in the Observed 80K cohort. As of the latest observation the record shows +$1.05K observed lifetime PnL, 35 distinct markets, 29 resolved positions, a 34.5% win rate on resolved positions.
Rank, total PnL and observed volume come from one accepted snapshot of Polymarket's public leaderboard, so they are consistent with each other and with every other profile in the cohort. Open positions, the chart and recent trades are separate live observations with their own timestamps. A figure Vultax could not observe is left out rather than shown as zero, and nothing on this page is investment advice or a return forecast.
Public profile: polymarket.com/profile/0x23910efae260dd965080955ade8abbe0296343ae
Nine stops, one per figure. Each says what the number is, why it matters, and what it reads for this wallet in the accepted snapshot.
Position in Vultax's Observed 80K cohort: 80,000 public Polymarket wallets ordered by observed lifetime profit in one accepted leaderboard snapshot. A rank is only comparable inside that snapshot.
Observed lifetime profit and loss for the wallet, realized and unrealized combined, as reported in the accepted snapshot. It is a record of what happened, not a forecast of what comes next.
| buy |
| 318.76 |
| $0.500 |
| $159.38 |
| Jul 24, 2026 |
 BNB Up or Down - July 10, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETDown | buy | 263.16 | $0.500 | $131.58 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 2PM ETUp | buy | 267 | $0.500 | $133.5 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 4:00PM-8:00PM ETDown | buy | 223.38 | $0.500 | $111.76 | May 7, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 4:00PM-8:00PM ETUp | buy | 218.51 | $0.500 | $109.26 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - March 10, 8:00PM-12:00AM ETUp | buy | 215.7 | $0.500 | $107.85 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will Rastriya Swatantra Party win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?No | sell | 1.1K | $0.046 | $50.76 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will Rastriya Swatantra Party win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?No | buy | 6.03 | $0.110 | $0.66 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will Rastriya Swatantra Party win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?No | buy | 61.23 | $0.102 | $6.24 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 9AM ETUp | buy | 203.9 | $0.510 | $103.99 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 3AM ETUp | buy | 150.84 | $0.528 | $79.64 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Solana Up or Down - December 28, 7AM ETDown | buy | 396.75 | $0.510 | $202.34 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Solana Up or Down - December 24, 7AM ETDown | buy | 134.73 | $0.510 | $68.71 | Dec 24, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - December 7, 7:45AM-8:00AM ETUp | buy | 410.66 | $0.500 | $205.33 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 95.5 | $0.540 | $51.57 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6PM ETUp | buy | 188.88 | $0.510 | $96.33 | Oct 22, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 14, 3AM ETDown | buy | 1.37K | $0.524 | $716 | Oct 14, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ETUp | buy | 163.42 | $0.516 | $84.33 | Oct 14, 2025 |
 Will Lucie Castets be the next Prime Minister of France?No | sell | 9.06 | $0.980 | $8.88 | Sep 9, 2025 |
| Will Lucie Castets be the next Prime Minister of France?No | buy | 9.07 | $0.999 | $9.06 | Sep 9, 2025 |
 Will turnout be less than 900000 in the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?Yes | buy | 2.8K | $0.001 | $2.8 | Jul 6, 2025 |
 Will Biden pardon SBF?No | sell | 12.3 | $0.965 | $11.87 | Jan 7, 2025 |
| Will Biden pardon SBF?No | buy | 12.31 | $0.967 | $11.9 | Jan 7, 2025 |
 Democrats win popular vote by 7% or more?Yes | buy | 2.58K | $0.002 | $5.05 | Dec 13, 2024 |
 Will a Democrat win Arizona US Senate Election?Yes | sell | 17.1 | $0.991 | $16.95 | Nov 10, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win Arizona US Senate Election?Yes | buy | 17.1 | $0.994 | $17 | Nov 10, 2024 |
 Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 5.76K | $0.001 | $5.76 | Oct 10, 2024 |
 Will Elizabeth Warren win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 2.93K | $0.001 | $2.93 | Sep 9, 2024 |
 Will Ron DeSantis win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 4K | $0.001 | $4 | Sep 9, 2024 |
 Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 6.03K | $0.001 | $6.03 | Aug 29, 2024 |
 Will any other Democrat Politician win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?No | sell | 13 | $0.997 | $12.96 | Aug 29, 2024 |
| Will any other Democrat Politician win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?No | buy | 13.01 | $0.998 | $12.98 | Aug 29, 2024 |
 Will any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 13.05 | $0.995 | $12.98 | Aug 29, 2024 |
| Will any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 13.05 | $0.996 | $13 | Aug 29, 2024 |
 Will Michelle Obama win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?No | sell | 268.1 | $0.984 | $263.81 | Aug 7, 2024 |
| Will Michelle Obama win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?No | buy | 268.1 | $0.985 | $264.08 | Aug 7, 2024 |
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2024 meeting?No | sell | 266.47 | $0.991 | $264.15 | Aug 7, 2024 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2024 meeting?No | buy | 266.47 | $0.993 | $264.6 | Aug 7, 2024 |
 USA wins the most medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?Yes | sell | 233.53 | $0.998 | $233.06 | Aug 7, 2024 |
| USA wins the most medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?Yes | buy | 233.52 | $0.999 | $233.29 | Aug 7, 2024 |
 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 215+No | sell | 209.59 | $0.963 | $201.84 | Aug 7, 2024 |
| 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 215+No | buy | 209.59 | $0.969 | $203.09 | Aug 7, 2024 |
 Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 252.17 | $0.988 | $249.14 | Aug 7, 2024 |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 252.16 | $0.989 | $249.39 | Aug 7, 2024 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2024 meeting?No | sell | 239.51 | $0.992 | $237.59 | Aug 7, 2024 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2024 meeting?No | buy | 239.52 | $0.993 | $237.84 | Aug 7, 2024 |
| USA wins the most medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?Yes | sell | 267.11 | $0.998 | $266.58 | Aug 7, 2024 |
| USA wins the most medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?Yes | buy | 267.12 | $0.999 | $266.85 | Aug 7, 2024 |
| Will Michelle Obama win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?No | sell | 192.89 | $0.984 | $189.8 | Aug 7, 2024 |
Lifetime dollar volume the wallet has traded in the same snapshot. Profit read next to volume shows how much return each traded dollar earned.
Value of the wallet's open positions at the profile observation, priced at current marks. Zero can mean the wallet holds nothing open, or that no open value was observed.
Share of resolved positions that closed in profit within the available sample. A high win rate with a small profit usually means many small wins and a few large losses.
Realized winning markets summed against realized losing markets. The split shows whether profit came from many small wins or from a few big calls.
Total losses as a share of total gains in the available sample. Lower means less of the profit was given back; a value above 100% means the wallet lost more than it won.
Distinct markets the wallet has traded, and how many of its positions have resolved. Breadth tells you whether a record is one lucky call or a habit.
How many provider fill rows this view loaded and when the snapshot was taken. Vultax stamps every figure with its observation time instead of presenting an old number as live.