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The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes | 88.63 | $0.158 | $4.87 | -$9.13 |
 Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 60.61 | $0.033 | $2 | May 18, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 96.15 |
| $0.052 |
| $2.36 |
| -$2.64 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes | 80.59 | $0.087 | $2.1 | -$4.9 |
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 7.58 | $0.066 | $1.22 | +$0.72 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 6.11 | $0.082 | $1.18 | +$0.68 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 24.97 | $0.080 | $0.99 | -$1.01 |
 Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | Yes | 13.25 | $0.139 | $0.86 | -$0.98 |
 Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 31.25 | $0.016 | $0.58 | +$0.08 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027? | Yes | 10.2 | $0.098 | $0.52 | -$0.48 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 3.03 | $0.330 | $0.47 | -$0.53 |
 Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 12.2 | $0.041 | $0.43 | -$0.07 |
 NATO article 5 before 2027? | Yes | 7.14 | $0.140 | $0.38 | -$0.62 |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 15.63 | $0.032 | $0.37 | -$0.13 |
 Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027? | Yes | 4 | $0.250 | $0.17 | -$0.83 |
 Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | Yes | 6.86 | $0.073 | $0.13 | -$0.37 |
| buy |
| 71.43 |
| $0.014 |
| $1 |
| May 18, 2026 |
 Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | May 17, 2026 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes | buy | 13.7 | $0.073 | $1 | May 17, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | May 17, 2026 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes | buy | 13.7 | $0.073 | $1 | May 10, 2026 |
 Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in May 2026?No | buy | 28.57 | $0.035 | $1 | May 9, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.028 | $1 | May 9, 2026 |
 Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?Yes | buy | 9.52 | $0.105 | $1 | May 9, 2026 |
 Will Applied Materials' Semiconductor Systems revenue be above $5.7B in Q2?No | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | May 9, 2026 |
 Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?No | buy | 6.24 | $0.160 | $1 | May 9, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Yes | buy | 23.08 | $0.130 | $3 | May 9, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by June 30?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.017 | $1 | May 9, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by May 31?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.008 | $1 | May 9, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?No | buy | 25.01 | $0.040 | $1 | May 9, 2026 |
| Iran Nuke before 2027?Yes | buy | 10.2 | $0.098 | $1 | May 9, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 15.63 | $0.064 | $1 | May 9, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | May 9, 2026 |
 US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | May 9, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | May 9, 2026 |
 Russian strike on Poland by June 30?Yes | buy | 107.94 | $0.046 | $5 | May 9, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 12.5 | $0.999 | $12.49 | May 9, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 14 | $0.999 | $13.99 | May 9, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by June 30?No | buy | 30.3 | $0.033 | $1 | May 8, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | May 8, 2026 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes | buy | 53.19 | $0.094 | $5 | May 8, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?No | buy | 41.84 | $0.024 | $1 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 21.71 | $0.046 | $1 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Serhiivka by April 30?Yes | buy | 27.03 | $0.037 | $1 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Ukraine hits Moscow by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 102.08 | $0.049 | $5 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.025 | $1 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?No | buy | 140.67 | $0.071 | $10 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?Yes | buy | 71.92 | $0.014 | $1 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike Kuwait by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 21.52 | $0.046 | $1 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 55.56 | $0.018 | $1 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?No | buy | 16.13 | $0.062 | $1 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 47.62 | $0.021 | $1 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?No | buy | 4.42 | $0.226 | $1 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike UAE again in March?No | sell | 5.96 | $0.420 | $2.5 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.036 | $1 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.025 | $1 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?Yes | buy | 4.15 | $0.241 | $1 | Mar 28, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?Yes | buy | 27.03 | $0.037 | $1 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?No | buy | 40 | $0.025 | $1 | Mar 27, 2026 |