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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Anthropic IPO before 2027? | Yes | 24.39 | $0.410 | $21.59 | +$11.59 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No | buy | 100 | $0.500 | $50 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 13.51 |
| $0.740 |
| $12.77 |
| +$2.77 |
| buy |
| 5.49 |
| $0.910 |
| $5 |
| Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19?Yes | buy | 7.81 | $0.640 | $5 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?Yes | buy | 9.8 | $0.510 | $5 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?Yes | buy | 10.42 | $0.480 | $5 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?Yes | buy | 5.32 | $0.939 | $5 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?Yes | buy | 6.02 | $0.830 | $5 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?Yes | buy | 8.47 | $0.590 | $5 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?Yes | buy | 7.81 | $0.640 | $5 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Yes | sell | 9.8 | $0.390 | $3.82 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?No | buy | 7.81 | $0.640 | $5 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | sell | 18.42 | $0.965 | $17.78 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Yes | buy | 9.8 | $0.510 | $5 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No | sell | 7.69 | $0.910 | $7 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 15.94 | $0.690 | $11 | May 29, 2026 |
 Epic Games IPO before 2027?Yes | sell | 11.9 | $0.113 | $1.34 | May 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 18.42 | $0.760 | $14 | May 29, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes | sell | 20.83 | $0.224 | $4.66 | May 29, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | sell | 11.62 | $0.950 | $11.04 | May 29, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | sell | 12.34 | $0.996 | $12.29 | May 29, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No | buy | 13.51 | $0.740 | $10 | May 1, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 12.35 | $0.810 | $10 | May 1, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 10.59 | $0.944 | $10 | May 1, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | buy | 11.63 | $0.860 | $10 | May 1, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes | buy | 20.83 | $0.240 | $5 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by March 31?Yes | sell | 104.16 | $0.010 | $1.04 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by June 30?Yes | sell | 29.41 | $0.110 | $3.24 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by June 30?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.170 | $5 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by March 31?Yes | buy | 104.17 | $0.048 | $5 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?No | buy | 14.93 | $0.670 | $10 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?No | sell | 23.22 | $0.998 | $23.17 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 3:35PM-3:40PM ETDown | buy | 2.15 | $0.450 | $0.97 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Epic Games IPO before 2027?Yes | buy | 11.9 | $0.420 | $5 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027?Yes | buy | 24.39 | $0.410 | $10 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.250 | $2.5 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 14?Yes | buy | 21.16 | $0.189 | $4 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No | buy | 7.69 | $0.650 | $5 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?Yes | buy | 12.82 | $0.780 | $10 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | sell | 17.24 | $0.380 | $6.55 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Another critical Cloudflare incident by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 11.84 | $0.422 | $5 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Another critical Cloudflare incident by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 7.46 | $0.588 | $4.39 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 6.57 | $0.800 | $5.26 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Yes | sell | 25.86 | $0.320 | $8.28 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?Yes | sell | 7.69 | $0.999 | $7.68 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.650 | $5 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-01?Yes | sell | 12.34 | $0.999 | $12.33 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-01?Yes | buy | 6.17 | $0.810 | $5 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-01?Yes | buy | 6.17 | $0.810 | $5 | Mar 1, 2026 |