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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 3.13 | $0.957 | $3.12 | +$0.12 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.17 | $0.920 | $2 | 2d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 2.44 |
| $0.890 |
| $2.13 |
| -$0.04 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | No | 2.17 | $0.920 | $1.97 | -$0.03 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 3.45 | $0.580 | $1.71 | -$0.29 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | No | 1.27 | $0.910 | $1.23 | +$0.07 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | 1.07 | $0.937 | $1.04 | +$0.03 |
 Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | No | 2.28 | $0.876 | $0.93 | -$1.07 |
| buy |
| 2.44 |
| $0.890 |
| $2.17 |
| 13d ago |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Yes | buy | 3.12 | $0.930 | $2.9 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No | buy | 1.27 | $0.910 | $1.16 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.26 | $0.970 | $2.19 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?No | buy | 2.28 | $0.876 | $2 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 3.13 | $0.957 | $3 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?No | buy | 9.79 | $0.225 | $2.2 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?No | buy | 1.13 | $0.977 | $1.1 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 3.45 | $0.580 | $2 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?Yes | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No | buy | 1.07 | $0.937 | $1 | May 29, 2026 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No | buy | 5.71 | $0.929 | $5.3 | May 14, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 2.27 | $0.750 | $1.7 | May 9, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.77 | $0.530 | $2 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes | buy | 5.73 | $0.990 | $5.67 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | buy | 5.46 | $0.969 | $5.29 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No | buy | 1.5 | $0.665 | $1 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.77 | $0.994 | $3.75 | Mar 20, 2026 |