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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 215.03 | $0.956 | $161.27 | -$44.2 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 242.53 | $0.196 | $47.45 | 1h ago |
|
| No |
| 195.44 |
| $0.790 |
| $104.56 |
| -$49.84 |
| Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 209.57 | $0.196 | $97.45 | +$56.45 |
| Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 203.12 | $0.250 | $63.98 | +$13.2 |
| buy |
| 195.44 |
| $0.790 |
| $154.4 |
| 1h ago |
| Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 203.12 | $0.250 | $50.78 | 1h ago |
 Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in September?Yes | buy | 111.37 | $0.825 | $91.84 | 7h ago |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 122.5 | $0.440 | $53.9 | 13h ago |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 2.93K | $0.160 | $468.24 | 13h ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 2.93K | $0.170 | $497.51 | 14h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 114.76 | $0.450 | $51.64 | 14h ago |
 Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 178.2 | $0.669 | $119.13 | 18h ago |
 Pakistan military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 95.53 | $0.833 | $79.6 | 1d ago |
| Pakistan military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 93.85 | $0.848 | $79.6 | 1d ago |
| Pakistan military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 47.87 | $0.842 | $40.29 | 1d ago |
 Will Kraken's valuation hit (LOW) $9B by September 30?No | buy | 16.19 | $0.990 | $16.03 | 1d ago |
| Will Kraken's valuation hit (LOW) $9B by September 30?No | buy | 153.16 | $0.839 | $128.47 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 492.76 | $0.420 | $206.96 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 640.3 | $0.649 | $415.28 | 1d ago |
| Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 215.03 | $0.956 | $205.47 | 1d ago |
 Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 68.1 | $0.769 | $52.4 | 1d ago |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 702.24 | $0.708 | $497.31 | 1d ago |
 LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?No | sell | 92.04 | $0.520 | $47.86 | 1d ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?No | buy | 560.23 | $0.428 | $239.86 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 240.74 | $0.390 | $93.89 | 2d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 1.36K | $0.475 | $646.76 | 2d ago |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 1.25K | $0.530 | $662.22 | 2d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 95.02 | $0.560 | $53.21 | 2d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.15K | $0.560 | $646.5 | 2d ago |
 Will "Putin" be in the headlines this week?Yes | sell | 17.17 | $0.500 | $8.59 | 3d ago |
| Will "Putin" be in the headlines this week?Yes | buy | 17.18 | $0.570 | $9.79 | 3d ago |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?Yes | buy | 116.35 | $0.358 | $41.6 | 4d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?Yes | buy | 1.24K | $0.422 | $521.73 | 4d ago |
 Will SPD win between 7% and 9% of all valid second votes?Yes | sell | 81.09 | $0.120 | $9.71 | 4d ago |
 Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SPD or Grüne?Grüne | sell | 29.49 | $0.490 | $14.45 | 4d ago |
 Will Grüne win at least 7% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 172.53 | $0.725 | $125.17 | 4d ago |
| Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SPD or Grüne?Grüne | buy | 951.26 | $0.570 | $542.68 | 4d ago |
| Will SPD win between 7% and 9% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 402.09 | $0.681 | $274.02 | 4d ago |
 Will the AfD win the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary election by at least 25%?Yes | buy | 624.35 | $0.619 | $386.78 | 4d ago |
 Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 503.33 | $0.736 | $370.65 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?Yes | sell | 105 | $0.550 | $57.75 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 355.58 | $0.696 | $247.4 | 5d ago |
 Will Moonshot be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?No | sell | 118.16 | $0.880 | $103.98 | 5d ago |
 Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 156.75 | $0.680 | $106.59 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 157.75 | $0.870 | $137.26 | 5d ago |
| Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 156.76 | $0.586 | $91.86 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?Yes | buy | 105 | $0.494 | $51.87 | 5d ago |
| Will Moonshot be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?No | buy | 118.17 | $0.789 | $93.28 | 5d ago |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 252.39 | $0.710 | $179.1 | 5d ago |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?No | sell | 1.07K | $0.861 | $919.22 | 6d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?Yes | sell | 365.6 | $0.004 | $1.44 | 7d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 976.44 | $0.084 | $81.68 | 7d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.44K | $0.074 | $106.34 | 7d ago |