Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 12.09 | $0.910 | $11.63 | +$0.63 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Taylor Swift have a #1 hit in the US in June?Yes | buy | 2.04 | $0.980 | $2 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 1.27 |
| $0.790 |
| $1 |
| Jun 4, 2026 |
 Will Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?Yes | buy | 2.11 | $0.950 | $2 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 12.09 | $0.910 | $11 | Jan 24, 2026 |
 Caroline Ellison new boyfriend by January 31?No | buy | 1.65 | $0.972 | $1.6 | Jan 24, 2026 |
 Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?No | buy | 3.01 | $0.997 | $3 | Jan 24, 2026 |
 Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?Yes | buy | 1.08 | $0.926 | $1 | Jan 24, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 5.84 | $0.997 | $5.82 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?No | buy | 2.05 | $0.976 | $2 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.34 | $0.748 | $1 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Fed Derivative: "No Change" or "25bp cut" favored on Monday?25bps cut | buy | 1.03 | $0.971 | $1 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Will Israel strike Yemen 2 times by October 31?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.988 | $1 | Oct 20, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Oct 20, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the most valuable company on October 31?Yes | buy | 2.01 | $0.995 | $2 | Oct 20, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during address to UN General Assembly on September 23?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.957 | $1 | Sep 20, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by September 30?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Sep 20, 2025 |
 Ethereum above $4400 on August 15?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.963 | $1 | Aug 14, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?Yes | buy | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1 | Aug 14, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?Yes | buy | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1 | Jul 13, 2025 |
 Will Elon visit the Western Wall before August?No | buy | 2.03 | $0.987 | $2 | Jul 13, 2025 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.967 | $1 | Jul 13, 2025 |
 Earthquake 7.0 or above before August?No | buy | 3.77 | $0.530 | $2 | Jul 13, 2025 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?No | buy | 11.57 | $0.960 | $11.11 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 US recession in 2025?No | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Google forced to sell Chrome?No | buy | 11.04 | $0.996 | $11 | May 20, 2025 |
 Will Oracle buy TikTok?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.896 | $1 | May 20, 2025 |
 Will MicroStrategy hold 600k+ BTC before July?Yes | buy | 1.1 | $0.911 | $1 | May 20, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 350 or more times May 16–23?No | buy | 3.01 | $0.996 | $3 | May 20, 2025 |
 Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?Yes | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | May 20, 2025 |
 Will Lee Jun-seok be elected the next president of South Korea?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.986 | $1 | May 20, 2025 |
 1,000+ Measles cases in U.S. before May?No | buy | 1.37 | $0.950 | $1.3 | Apr 17, 2025 |
 Will Canada block Pornhub in the U.S. before May?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.995 | $2 | Apr 17, 2025 |
 Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin April 15-21?Yes | buy | 1.39 | $0.790 | $1.1 | Apr 17, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on April 30?Yes | buy | 1.47 | $0.680 | $1 | Apr 17, 2025 |
 Will more than 300k jobs be added in February?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.966 | $1 | Mar 3, 2025 |
 Was JFK assassination an inside job?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.976 | $1 | Mar 3, 2025 |
 Zelenskyy puts on a suit by Friday?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.984 | $1.1 | Mar 3, 2025 |
 Will Inuit Ataqatigiit win the most seats in the next Greenland parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 1.16 | $0.947 | $1.1 | Mar 3, 2025 |
 Will Netanyahu meet with MBS before April?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.980 | $1.1 | Mar 3, 2025 |
 Another commercial airline evacuation before March?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.901 | $1.1 | Mar 3, 2025 |
 Astaria airdrop in Q1 2025?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.969 | $1.1 | Feb 11, 2025 |
 Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Feb 11, 2025 |
 Ye banned on X in February?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.920 | $1.1 | Feb 11, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk buy MSNBC?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.980 | $2 | Feb 11, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk buy MSNBC?No | buy | 2.25 | $0.979 | $2.2 | Jan 23, 2025 |
 Trump Admin confirms Aliens exist in first 100 days?No | buy | 2.09 | $0.957 | $2 | Jan 23, 2025 |
 Will MrBeast buy TikTok before April?No | buy | 1.41 | $0.853 | $1.2 | Jan 23, 2025 |
 Will Kostas Tasoulas be next Greek President?Yes | buy | 1.12 | $0.985 | $1.1 | Jan 23, 2025 |
 Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.25 | $0.962 | $1.2 | Jan 23, 2025 |