Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | No | 6.93 | $0.866 | $6.55 | +$0.55 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 2.53 | $0.790 | $2 | 8h ago |
 |
| No |
| 6.92 |
| $0.433 |
| $5.64 |
| +$2.64 |
 U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? | No | 6.53 | $0.766 | $5.55 | +$0.55 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | No | 5.71 | $0.876 | $4.98 | -$0.02 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 5.72 | $0.700 | $4.49 | +$0.49 |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada" before 2027? | No | 4.73 | $0.845 | $4.14 | +$0.14 |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Israel" before 2027? | No | 4.65 | $0.860 | $4.02 | +$0.02 |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Mexico" before 2027? | No | 4.71 | $0.850 | $3.95 | -$0.05 |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Indonesia" before 2027? | No | 4.61 | $0.867 | $3.94 | -$0.06 |
 Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | No | 3.74 | $0.802 | $3.52 | +$0.52 |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027? | No | 3.77 | $0.797 | $3.31 | +$0.31 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 6.25 | $0.640 | $3.28 | -$0.72 |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Vietnam" before 2027? | No | 3.52 | $0.852 | $3.08 | +$0.08 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 3.46 | $0.867 | $3.03 | +$0.03 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 3.31 | $0.906 | $2.67 | -$0.33 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.53 | $0.790 | $2.37 | +$0.37 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | No | 2.33 | $0.860 | $2.17 | +$0.17 |
 Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | Yes | 2.56 | $0.780 | $2.14 | +$0.14 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? | No | 2.25 | $0.890 | $2.1 | +$0.1 |
 Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 1.5% and 1.9%? | No | 2.16 | $0.928 | $2.1 | +$0.1 |
 Tariff increase on Canada in effect by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.4 | $0.834 | $2.05 | +$0.05 |
 U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Taiwan" before 2027? | No | 2.33 | $0.857 | $2.05 | +$0.05 |
 Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 2.13 | $0.941 | $2.01 | +$0.01 |
 Will USD/CAD hit 1.60 (High) in 2026? | No | 2.15 | $0.930 | $1.99 | -$0.01 |
 Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.19 | $0.915 | $1.97 | -$0.03 |
| buy |
| 1.14 |
| $0.880 |
| $1 |
| 8h ago |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | 20h ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | 20h ago |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Yes | sell | 4.49 | $0.972 | $4.36 | 20h ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | 1d ago |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Indonesia" before 2027?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | 1d ago |
| Tariff increase on Canada in effect by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | 1d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | 1d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | sell | 4.18 | $0.980 | $4.1 | 1d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 2.17 | $0.920 | $2 | 6d ago |
 Will Trump meet with Mark Carney by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1 | 8d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?No | sell | 1.21 | $0.950 | $1.15 | 12d ago |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Mexico" before 2027?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | 13d ago |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada" before 2027?No | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | 13d ago |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Mexico" before 2027?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | 13d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 3.19 | $0.960 | $3.06 | 13d ago |
 USMCA extended in 2026?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | 13d ago |
| Will Trump meet with Mark Carney by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | 13d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?No | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | 13d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?No | sell | 1.03 | $0.984 | $1.01 | 13d ago |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | sell | 1.03 | $0.995 | $1.02 | 13d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.961 | $1 | 13d ago |
 Doug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | 14d ago |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Yes | buy | 2.38 | $0.420 | $1 | 14d ago |
 US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15?No | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | 14d ago |
 Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?No | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | 14d ago |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.971 | $1 | 14d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.15 | $0.929 | $2 | 14d ago |
| Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?No | buy | 3.74 | $0.802 | $3 | 14d ago |
| Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 1.5% and 1.9%?No | buy | 2.16 | $0.928 | $2 | 14d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.962 | $1 | 14d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | 14d ago |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Vietnam" before 2027?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | 14d ago |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Indonesia" before 2027?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | 14d ago |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Israel" before 2027?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | 14d ago |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada" before 2027?No | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | 14d ago |
| Tariff increase on Canada in effect by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.23 | $0.810 | $1 | 14d ago |
 Canada cuts off or throttles electricity to the US by December 31?No | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | 14d ago |
| Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 2.0% and 2.4%?No | buy | 2.26 | $0.885 | $2 | 14d ago |
 Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?Yes | buy | 1.13 | $0.884 | $1 | 14d ago |
 US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by August 31?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | 14d ago |
 Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.32 | $0.850 | $1.12 | 14d ago |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Yes | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | 14d ago |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | sell | 12.5 | $0.024 | $0.3 | 14d ago |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.971 | $1 | 14d ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?No | sell | 1.08 | $0.979 | $1.06 | 14d ago |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 1.11 | $0.981 | $1.09 | 14d ago |
 Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | 15d ago |
 Canada's population Up or Down this year?Down | sell | 1.36 | $0.840 | $1.14 | 16d ago |