Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by December 31?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.380 | $2 | Oct 6, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 156 |
| $0.150 |
| $23.4 |
| Oct 6, 2025 |
 Israel strikes Iran by September 30?Yes | sell | 29.41 | $0.016 | $0.47 | Sep 26, 2025 |
| Israel strikes Iran by October 31?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.190 | $1.9 | Sep 26, 2025 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by September 30?Yes | sell | 23.8 | $0.026 | $0.62 | Sep 26, 2025 |
 Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.480 | $7.2 | Sep 26, 2025 |
 Will Costco Wholesale (COST) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?Yes | sell | 64.11 | $0.011 | $0.71 | Sep 26, 2025 |
 EU sanctions on Iran by September 30?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.150 | $2.25 | Sep 26, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Yes | sell | 88.3 | $0.140 | $12.36 | Sep 26, 2025 |
| Israel strikes Iran by October 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.200 | $2 | Sep 26, 2025 |
| Will Costco Wholesale (COST) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.680 | $20 | Sep 20, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | sell | 24.6 | $0.862 | $21.21 | Sep 20, 2025 |
| Will Costco Wholesale (COST) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?Yes | buy | 34.71 | $0.680 | $23.6 | Sep 20, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.440 | $6.6 | Sep 20, 2025 |
| EU sanctions on Iran by September 30?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.360 | $5.4 | Sep 20, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.180 | $5 | Sep 8, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 24.6 | $0.813 | $20 | Sep 8, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Yes | buy | 60.53 | $0.190 | $11.5 | Aug 30, 2025 |
| Israel strikes Iran by September 30?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.170 | $5 | Aug 28, 2025 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by September 30?Yes | buy | 23.81 | $0.210 | $5 | Aug 28, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | sell | 36.58 | $0.250 | $9.15 | Aug 28, 2025 |
 Will iPhone 17 cost more than iPhone 16?No | sell | 18.33 | $0.540 | $9.9 | Aug 28, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?Yes | sell | 27.06 | $0.986 | $26.67 | Aug 28, 2025 |
 Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau confirmed relationship by August 31?Yes | sell | 61.81 | $0.039 | $2.41 | Aug 16, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?Yes | sell | 5.55 | $0.018 | $0.1 | Aug 9, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?Yes | buy | 27.06 | $0.776 | $21 | Aug 9, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 36.59 | $0.410 | $15 | Aug 9, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?Yes | buy | 34.25 | $0.876 | $30 | Aug 9, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | sell | 70.74 | $0.941 | $66.56 | Aug 9, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.840 | $21 | Aug 1, 2025 |
 Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?Yes | sell | 5.88 | $0.815 | $4.79 | Aug 1, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Jul 30, 2025 |
| Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau confirmed relationship by August 31?Yes | buy | 61.82 | $0.110 | $6.8 | Jul 30, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | buy | 45.75 | $0.870 | $39.8 | Jul 30, 2025 |
| Will iPhone 17 cost more than iPhone 16?No | buy | 18.33 | $0.600 | $11 | Jul 30, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?No | sell | 53.85 | $0.991 | $53.37 | Jul 30, 2025 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?Yes | sell | 71.42 | $0.006 | $0.43 | Jul 30, 2025 |
 Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?Yes | sell | 1.72 | $0.590 | $1.01 | Jul 30, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Yes | sell | 15.15 | $0.240 | $3.64 | Jul 30, 2025 |
| Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.72 | $0.580 | $1 | Jul 17, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?No | buy | 12.31 | $0.650 | $8 | Jul 13, 2025 |
 US x Iran nuclear talks resume before August?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.450 | $5 | Jul 12, 2025 |
 Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before August?Yes | sell | 11.36 | $0.370 | $4.2 | Jul 12, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?No | buy | 31.75 | $0.630 | $20 | Jul 12, 2025 |
 Will Gonzalo García be the top goalscorer at the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?Yes | buy | 3.8 | $0.790 | $3 | Jul 11, 2025 |
| Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 5.89 | $0.849 | $5 | Jul 11, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 12.36 | $0.890 | $11 | Jul 11, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?No | buy | 9.8 | $0.510 | $5 | Jul 11, 2025 |
| US x Iran nuclear talks resume before August?Yes | buy | 8.79 | $0.569 | $5 | Jul 11, 2025 |
| US x Iran nuclear talks resume before August?Yes | buy | 8.93 | $0.560 | $5 | Jul 11, 2025 |