Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? | No | 83.33 | $0.180 | $22.5 | +$7.5 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 55.56 | $0.036 | $2 | Mar 2, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 23.08 |
| $0.130 |
| $4.27 |
| +$1.27 |
| Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition? | Yes | 260.36 | $0.019 | $0.65 | -$4.35 |
| buy |
| 55.56 |
| $0.036 |
| $2 |
| Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 37.04 | $0.027 | $1 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.006 | $2 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 55.56 | $0.036 | $2 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027Yes | buy | 23.08 | $0.130 | $3 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?Yes | buy | 260.36 | $0.019 | $5 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?No | buy | 83.33 | $0.180 | $15 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 370.37 | $0.027 | $10 | Feb 26, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "America" or "American" 50+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?No | buy | 23.26 | $0.086 | $2 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "America" or "American" 50+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?No | buy | 10.1 | $0.099 | $1 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "America" or "American" 50+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?No | buy | 10.42 | $0.096 | $1 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "America" or "American" 50+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?No | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "The State of the Union is strong" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.100 | $2 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 131.58 | $0.038 | $5 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "America" or "American" 25+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?No | buy | 90.91 | $0.055 | $5 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "America" or "American" 50+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?No | buy | 55.44 | $0.180 | $10 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Will Meteora be accused of insider trading?No | buy | 14.93 | $0.670 | $10 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 95.24 | $0.042 | $4 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 104.16 | $0.090 | $9.37 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 26.52 | $0.768 | $20.37 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 32.25 | $0.220 | $7.1 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 32.26 | $0.310 | $10 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 104.16 | $0.096 | $10 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 26.53 | $0.754 | $20 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.350 | $10 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 18?Down | buy | 12.2 | $0.410 | $5 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 200 | $0.080 | $16 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?Yes | sell | 1.31 | $0.740 | $0.97 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 5:40PM-5:45PM ETDown | sell | 3.29 | $0.480 | $1.58 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 5:40PM-5:45PM ETDown | buy | 3.26 | $0.300 | $0.98 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?Yes | buy | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 65.4 | $0.037 | $2.41 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.78K | $0.031 | $55.12 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | sell | 357.85 | $0.154 | $55.12 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 95.12 | $0.121 | $11.51 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 Will Gold close between $4200 and $4300 at the end of 2025?Yes | sell | 54.32 | $0.212 | $11.52 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 262.73 | $0.121 | $31.79 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | sell | 39.21 | $0.300 | $11.76 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | sell | 133.33 | $0.040 | $5.33 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?No | sell | 54.41 | $0.270 | $14.69 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?No | buy | 9.86K | $0.003 | $29.58 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 Over 20,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?No | sell | 95.1 | $0.311 | $29.58 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?No | buy | 2.98K | $0.003 | $8.94 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | sell | 66.66 | $0.080 | $5.33 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?No | sell | 28.57 | $0.060 | $1.71 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 Will Leavitt say "Bill" or "Clinton" during the next White House press briefing?Yes | sell | 5.66 | $0.334 | $1.89 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?No | buy | 1.56K | $0.005 | $7.78 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 34.75 | $0.125 | $4.33 | Dec 5, 2025 |