Analytics
Rank, Total PnL and Observed Volume retain the selected Observed 80K snapshot. Positions, chart and recent trades are independent Polymarket observations. Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | 12.12 | $0.660 | $8.42 | +$0.42 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?No | buy | 3.45 | $0.869 | $3 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 6.07 |
| $0.660 |
| $5.68 |
| +$1.67 |
 Will Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? | No | 5.68 | $0.880 | $5.67 | +$0.67 |
 Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027? | No | 4.52 | $0.760 | $4.35 | +$0.92 |
 Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? | No | 5.04 | $0.680 | $4.21 | +$0.78 |
| Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | No | 3.46 | $0.869 | $3.23 | +$0.22 |
 OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T? | No | 18.52 | $0.540 | $1.02 | -$8.98 |
| sell |
| 8.94 |
| $0.252 |
| $2.25 |
| Mar 24, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No | buy | 7.69 | $0.650 | $5 | Mar 23, 2026 |
 Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?Yes | sell | 6.57 | $0.740 | $4.86 | Mar 23, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes | sell | 5.55 | $0.350 | $1.94 | Mar 23, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No | buy | 4.89 | $0.830 | $4.06 | Mar 23, 2026 |
 Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No | sell | 3.65 | $0.790 | $2.88 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 8.96 | $0.335 | $3 | Mar 23, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No | sell | 8.56 | $0.700 | $5.99 | Mar 23, 2026 |
 US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 2.17 | $0.740 | $1.61 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?No | buy | 4.51 | $0.760 | $3.43 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?No | buy | 5.04 | $0.680 | $3.43 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No | sell | 2.63 | $0.420 | $1.1 | Mar 23, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | sell | 1.23 | $0.800 | $0.98 | Mar 23, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.800 | $5 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No | buy | 12.12 | $0.660 | $8 | Mar 23, 2026 |
 Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?No | sell | 25.64 | $0.430 | $11.03 | Mar 23, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?No | sell | 2.81 | $0.826 | $2.32 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No | buy | 8.56 | $0.800 | $6.85 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?No | buy | 18.52 | $0.540 | $10 | Mar 22, 2026 |
 Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | sell | 16.39 | $0.600 | $9.83 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?No | sell | 6.41 | $0.770 | $4.94 | Mar 22, 2026 |
 Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026Yes | sell | 3.38 | $0.620 | $2.1 | Mar 22, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | sell | 1.58 | $0.630 | $1 | Mar 22, 2026 |
 Iran nuclear test before 2027?No | sell | 1.16 | $0.850 | $0.99 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 1.59 | $0.630 | $1 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Iran nuclear test before 2027?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Mar 22, 2026 |
 Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?No | buy | 7.96 | $0.540 | $4.3 | Mar 22, 2026 |
 Will Grégory Doucet win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.279 | $0 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Will Grégory Doucet win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?No | sell | 11.02 | $0.279 | $3.08 | Mar 22, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | sell | 1.23 | $0.800 | $0.98 | Mar 22, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?No | buy | 3.45 | $0.870 | $3 | Mar 22, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?Yes | sell | 6.66 | $0.260 | $1.73 | Mar 22, 2026 |
 Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?No | buy | 6.12 | $0.490 | $3 | Mar 22, 2026 |
 Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Yes | sell | 5.12 | $0.430 | $2.2 | Mar 22, 2026 |
 Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.150 | $1.5 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| US recession by end of 2026?No | buy | 6.06 | $0.660 | $4 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?No | sell | 3.46 | $0.862 | $2.98 | Mar 22, 2026 |
 Will France win Eurovision 2026?No | sell | 1.15 | $0.872 | $1 | Mar 21, 2026 |
 Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?No | buy | 3.8 | $0.790 | $3 | Mar 21, 2026 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Yes | sell | 4.05 | $0.950 | $3.85 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Will Grégory Doucet win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?No | buy | 11.03 | $0.272 | $3 | Mar 21, 2026 |
 Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?Yes | sell | 3.94 | $0.760 | $2.99 | Mar 21, 2026 |
 SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.1 | $0.810 | $4.13 | Mar 21, 2026 |
 US strikes Yemen by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 13.63 | $0.118 | $1.61 | Mar 21, 2026 |
 Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?No | sell | 1.26 | $0.950 | $1.2 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?No | buy | 2.82 | $0.888 | $2.5 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?No | sell | 1.19 | $0.860 | $1.02 | Mar 20, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?No | sell | 1.91 | $0.920 | $1.76 | Mar 20, 2026 |