Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel closes its airspace by July 31?No | buy | 180 | $0.930 | $167.4 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 101 |
| $0.090 |
| $9.09 |
| Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?No | buy | 76 | $0.883 | $67.11 | May 1, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?Yes | buy | 190 | $0.193 | $36.67 | May 1, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?No | buy | 108.29 | $0.920 | $99.63 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?No | buy | 120 | $0.100 | $12 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?No | buy | 110 | $0.280 | $30.8 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 142.42 | $0.995 | $141.71 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.440 | $44 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No | buy | 60 | $0.360 | $21.6 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 223.31 | $0.290 | $64.76 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?Yes | buy | 160 | $0.260 | $41.6 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?No | buy | 51.41 | $0.952 | $48.94 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in February?Yes | buy | 170 | $0.300 | $51 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will the government shutdown last 10 days or more?No | buy | 54.95 | $0.880 | $48.36 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?Yes | buy | 170 | $0.420 | $71.4 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 399.75 | $0.731 | $292.22 | Dec 14, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | sell | 51.15 | $0.997 | $51 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 240.97 | $0.830 | $200.01 | Nov 26, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?No | buy | 200 | $0.364 | $72.8 | Nov 9, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $118,000 on October 9?No | buy | 110 | $0.010 | $1.1 | Oct 8, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $118,000 on October 9?Yes | buy | 110 | $0.995 | $109.45 | Oct 8, 2025 |
 Will Solana reach $280 September 29-October 5?No | buy | 7.99 | $0.999 | $7.98 | Oct 2, 2025 |
| Will Solana reach $270 September 29-October 5?Yes | buy | 110 | $0.023 | $2.53 | Oct 2, 2025 |
| Will Solana reach $270 September 29-October 5?No | buy | 110 | $0.991 | $109.01 | Oct 2, 2025 |
 Will XRP reach $6.00 in September?No | buy | 100.8 | $0.992 | $99.99 | Sep 18, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum reach $8000 in September?No | buy | 18.72 | $0.988 | $18.5 | Sep 2, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 100 | $0.190 | $19 | Sep 2, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.820 | $82 | Sep 2, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | sell | 10.88 | $0.956 | $10.4 | Sep 2, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum reach $6500 in August?No | buy | 109.09 | $0.997 | $108.76 | Aug 21, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 90 | $0.640 | $57.6 | Aug 21, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?No | sell | 90 | $0.350 | $31.5 | Aug 21, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 10.88 | $0.935 | $10.17 | Aug 6, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 90 | $0.260 | $23.4 | Aug 6, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 90 | $0.750 | $67.5 | Aug 6, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | sell | 101.68 | $0.994 | $101.07 | Aug 6, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 101.68 | $0.995 | $101.17 | Aug 6, 2025 |
 Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.028 | $2.8 | Jul 7, 2025 |
| Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?No | buy | 100 | $0.973 | $97.3 | Jul 7, 2025 |
 Will Trump apologize to Elon by Monday?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.006 | $1.19 | Jun 8, 2025 |
| Will Trump apologize to Elon by Monday?No | buy | 100 | $0.997 | $99.7 | Jun 8, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 104.35 | $0.979 | $102.16 | Jun 8, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 104.35 | $0.980 | $102.26 | Jun 8, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 104.46 | $0.979 | $102.27 | Jun 8, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 104.46 | $0.980 | $102.37 | Jun 8, 2025 |
 Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?No | buy | 90 | $0.110 | $9.9 | May 9, 2025 |
| Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?Yes | buy | 90 | $0.900 | $81 | May 9, 2025 |
 Pakistan military strike on India by Friday?Yes | sell | 103.48 | $0.998 | $103.27 | May 9, 2025 |
| Pakistan military strike on India by Friday?Yes | buy | 103.48 | $0.999 | $103.38 | May 9, 2025 |