Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes | buy | 40.39 | $0.396 | $16 | May 22, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 18.52 |
| $0.108 |
| $2 |
| Nov 26, 2025 |
 Israel strike on the West Bank by December 31?No | buy | 5.8 | $0.690 | $4 | Nov 26, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Pilgrim" at the Turkey Pardon on Tuesday?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.250 | $3 | Nov 25, 2025 |
 Iran Nuke in 2025?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.130 | $5 | Jun 17, 2025 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?Yes | buy | 9.43 | $0.530 | $5 | Jun 17, 2025 |
 Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?No | buy | 6.76 | $0.740 | $5 | May 3, 2025 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.140 | $5 | Apr 24, 2025 |
 Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.110 | $5 | Mar 8, 2025 |
 Will Trump impose tariffs on Japan in the first 100 days?Yes | buy | 6.62 | $0.151 | $1 | Mar 8, 2025 |
 Will Trump impose tariffs on France in the first 100 days?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Mar 8, 2025 |
 Will Trump impose tariffs on the EU in the first 100 days?Yes | buy | 7.39 | $0.676 | $5 | Mar 8, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI release an open source model before July?Yes | buy | 8.62 | $0.580 | $5 | Mar 8, 2025 |
 Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?No | buy | 8.93 | $0.560 | $5 | Mar 8, 2025 |
 Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 8.46 | $0.680 | $5.75 | Feb 23, 2025 |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?No | buy | 24.39 | $0.927 | $22.61 | Jan 29, 2025 |
 TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?No | buy | 25 | $0.400 | $10 | Jan 14, 2025 |
| Will AfD win the second most seats in the next German election?No | buy | 18.44 | $0.250 | $4.61 | Dec 31, 2024 |
 German Bundestag dissolved in 2024?No | buy | 40 | $0.050 | $2 | Dec 25, 2024 |
 Will SPD win the second most seats in the next German election?No | buy | 6.02 | $0.830 | $5 | Dec 21, 2024 |
 Will the SPD win 10-15% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 15.63 | $0.320 | $5 | Dec 21, 2024 |
 Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.900 | $5 | Dec 21, 2024 |
| German Bundestag dissolved in 2024?No | buy | 50 | $0.160 | $8 | Dec 16, 2024 |
 Will Russia use a nuclear weapon in 2024?Yes | buy | 27.03 | $0.037 | $1 | Nov 24, 2024 |
 Coinbase #1 finance app on Monday?No | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | Nov 24, 2024 |
 Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?No | buy | 32.61 | $0.920 | $30 | Nov 24, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Sunday?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.028 | $1 | Nov 24, 2024 |
 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Yes | buy | 11.9 | $0.420 | $5 | Nov 24, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?Yes | buy | 25.86 | $0.580 | $15 | Nov 24, 2024 |
 OpenAI becomes a for-profit before April 2025?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | Nov 17, 2024 |
 Another Israeli military action against Iran in 2024?Yes | buy | 14.71 | $0.340 | $5 | Nov 17, 2024 |
 Bitcoin above $90,000 on November 22?Yes | buy | 8.62 | $0.580 | $5 | Nov 17, 2024 |
 U.S. military strike on Lebanon before November?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.050 | $2 | Sep 24, 2024 |
 Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.150 | $3 | Sep 24, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 19.92 | $0.502 | $10 | Sep 14, 2024 |
 Will AfD make it into Thuringia or Saxony government?Yes | buy | 53.19 | $0.094 | $5 | Sep 13, 2024 |
 Ukraine strike on Moscow by September 30?No | buy | 20.87 | $0.719 | $15 | Sep 13, 2024 |
 Will Apple remain largest company through Sep 30?No | buy | 15 | $0.200 | $3 | Sep 13, 2024 |
 Another GTA 6 trailer released by October 4?No | buy | 5.81 | $0.860 | $5 | Sep 13, 2024 |
 TikTok banned in the US in 2024?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Sep 13, 2024 |
 European Central Bank cuts rates in Oct meeting?No | buy | 7.58 | $0.660 | $5 | Sep 13, 2024 |
 Will Biden finish his term?Yes | buy | 5.75 | $0.870 | $5 | Sep 13, 2024 |
 Will Fed cut interest rates 3 times in 2024?Yes | buy | 20.83 | $0.240 | $5 | Sep 13, 2024 |
 Will Trump launch a coin before the election?No | buy | 16.13 | $0.310 | $5 | Sep 13, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Yes | buy | 84.71 | $0.850 | $72 | Jul 21, 2024 |
 Will Beryl hit US as a hurricane?No | buy | 35.29 | $0.850 | $30 | Jul 3, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "Jail" or "Prison" during the debate?Yes | buy | 13.56 | $0.700 | $9.49 | Jun 24, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Rigged" during the debate?No | buy | 19.05 | $0.420 | $8 | Jun 24, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "MAGA" during the debate?No | buy | 26.67 | $0.300 | $8 | Jun 24, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Jew" during the debate?No | buy | 9.88 | $0.810 | $8 | Jun 24, 2024 |