Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes | 1.02K | $0.167 | $55.9 | -$114.1 |
 Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump out as President before 2027?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.140 | $5 | May 1, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 16.67 |
| $0.300 |
| $14.22 |
| +$9.22 |
 Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? | Yes | 71.43 | $0.210 | $12.14 | -$2.86 |
 Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? | Yes | 42.55 | $0.470 | $10 | -$10 |
| Will Tom Homan leave the Trump administration before 2027? | Yes | 17.95 | $0.390 | $4.31 | -$2.69 |
 SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement? | Yes | 13.64 | $0.220 | $2.86 | -$0.14 |
 US recession by end of 2026? | Yes | 16.13 | $0.310 | $1.21 | -$3.79 |
 US military draft authorized in 2026? | Yes | 16.67 | $0.120 | $0.52 | -$1.48 |
| buy |
| 100 |
| $0.010 |
| $1 |
| May 1, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.140 | $5 | May 1, 2026 |
 Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 16.16 | $0.670 | $10.83 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.160 | $10 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 243.22 | $0.041 | $10 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 30.05 | $0.166 | $5 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin outperform Silver in April 2026?No | buy | 11.92 | $0.419 | $5 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 81.2 | $0.493 | $40 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 144.86 | $0.207 | $30 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 186.09 | $0.054 | $10 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will Tom Homan leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes | buy | 17.95 | $0.390 | $7 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes | buy | 42.55 | $0.470 | $20 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by June 30?Yes | buy | 471.8 | $0.060 | $28.31 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by April 30?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Yes | buy | 235.29 | $0.170 | $40 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by June 30?Yes | buy | 471.8 | $0.060 | $28.31 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by April 30?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by April 30?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will Trump post "Make Iran Great Again" or "MIGA" on Truth Social this week?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.003 | $1 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| US recession by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 16.13 | $0.310 | $5 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | sell | 70.83 | $0.990 | $70.12 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by June 30?Yes | buy | 78.63 | $0.060 | $4.72 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Yes | buy | 294.12 | $0.170 | $50 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?Yes | buy | 27.03 | $0.370 | $10 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?Yes | buy | 74.19 | $0.067 | $5 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.300 | $5 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.500 | $10 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 22 | $0.500 | $11 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.150 | $5 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.050 | $2 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the April Meeting?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.007 | $1 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.140 | $5 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 159.32 | $0.031 | $5 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Yes | buy | 176.47 | $0.170 | $30 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.210 | $15 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Another US Joint Chiefs of Staff member out by April 30?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.100 | $2 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Trump announces Attorney General pick by April 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 53.18 | $0.075 | $4 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| US military draft authorized in 2026?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.120 | $2 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Yes | buy | 176.47 | $0.170 | $30 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 15?Yes | buy | 32.85 | $0.152 | $5 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement?Yes | buy | 13.64 | $0.220 | $3 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the June Meeting?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.034 | $2 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 100.23 | $0.030 | $3 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 Will Powell say "Governor" during April press conference?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.450 | $5 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Will Powell say "Simulation" during April press conference?Yes | buy | 19.16 | $0.261 | $5 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Will Powell say "War" during April press conference?Yes | buy | 8.93 | $0.560 | $5 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 11.9 | $0.420 | $5 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.14K | $0.007 | $15 | Apr 11, 2026 |