Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | No | 7.14 | $0.700 | $6.5 | +$1.5 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Iran target a Arab country on August 12, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.91 | $0.112 | $1 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 53.66 |
| $0.093 |
| $3.76 |
| -$1.24 |
 Will BRICS add a new member in 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.250 | $2.5 | -$2.5 |
 Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027? | Yes | 40.95 | $0.073 | $2.17 | -$0.83 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027? | Yes | 18.52 | $0.054 | $0.89 | -$0.11 |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 32.26 | $0.031 | $0.76 | -$0.24 |
| Will a country leave BRICS in 2026? | Yes | 10.64 | $0.094 | $0.64 | -$0.36 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | Yes | 8.33 | $0.120 | $0.46 | -$0.54 |
 Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 23.26 | $0.043 | $0.45 | -$0.55 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 4 | $0.250 | $0.1 | -$0.9 |
| buy |
| 32.26 |
| $0.031 |
| $1 |
| Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.020 | $1 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 2, 2026?Yes | buy | 56.76 | $0.018 | $1 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?No | buy | 7.14 | $0.700 | $5 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?Yes | buy | 40.95 | $0.073 | $3 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?Yes | buy | 53.66 | $0.093 | $5 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will a country leave BRICS in 2026?Yes | buy | 10.64 | $0.094 | $1 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will BRICS add a new member in 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.250 | $5 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 23.26 | $0.043 | $1 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Iran Nuke before 2027?Yes | buy | 18.52 | $0.054 | $1 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will Houthis successfully target shipping on July 27, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 22?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Israel military action against Yemen by July 31?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.090 | $5 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 28.63 | $0.175 | $5 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will fewer than 220 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between July 20-July 26?Yes | buy | 7.94 | $0.630 | $5 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 40.68 | $0.147 | $6 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 57.69 | $0.104 | $6 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.180 | $10 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 22?Yes | buy | 2.38 | $0.650 | $1.55 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 21?Yes | buy | 9.43 | $0.530 | $5 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 20?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.400 | $2 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 2.33 | $0.860 | $2 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 4:05PM-4:10PM ETDown | buy | 9.43 | $0.530 | $5 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 3:50PM-3:55PM ETDown | sell | 6.32 | $0.990 | $6.26 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 3:50PM-3:55PM ETDown | buy | 6.33 | $0.790 | $5 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETDown | sell | 6.75 | $0.996 | $6.72 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 3:40PM-3:45PM ETUp | buy | 485 | $0.010 | $4.85 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 3:40PM-3:45PM ETDown | sell | 7.69 | $0.420 | $3.23 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 3:40PM-3:45PM ETDown | buy | 7.69 | $0.650 | $5 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 3:30PM-3:35PM ETDown | buy | 5.38 | $0.930 | $5 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETDown | buy | 6.76 | $0.740 | $5 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?Yes | buy | 5.59 | $0.179 | $1 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 1:05PM-1:10PM ETDown | buy | 8.33 | $0.600 | $5 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 20?Yes | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 19?Yes | buy | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Israel military action against Yemen by July 31?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 165.31 | $0.006 | $1 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?Yes | buy | 20.2 | $0.247 | $5 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | sell | 21.09 | $0.996 | $21.01 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 245.2 | $0.010 | $2.5 | Jul 5, 2026 |
 Will Colombia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Yes | buy | 42.74 | $0.117 | $5 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?Yes | buy | 11.63 | $0.430 | $5 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 12.82 | $0.994 | $12.74 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | buy | 21.1 | $0.730 | $15.4 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 12.82 | $0.780 | $10 | Jun 22, 2026 |