Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | Yes | 349.77 | $0.314 | $19.24 | -$90.76 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.280 | $20 | May 4, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 71.43 |
| $0.280 |
| $20 |
| May 4, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.280 | $40 | May 4, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.380 | $10 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes | buy | 37.74 | $0.530 | $20 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.450 | $5 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?Yes | sell | 46.51 | $0.997 | $46.37 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 46.51 | $0.860 | $40 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?No | sell | 50 | $0.140 | $7 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 23.8 | $0.943 | $22.44 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 17.27 | $0.579 | $10 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 23.81 | $0.210 | $5 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?Yes | sell | 29.85 | $0.580 | $17.31 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?Yes | buy | 29.85 | $0.670 | $20 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?Yes | buy | 49.26 | $0.609 | $30 | Mar 12, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 27.03 | $0.370 | $10 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.016 | $1 | Dec 18, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | sell | 8.57 | $0.034 | $0.29 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?Yes | sell | 3.7 | $0.250 | $0.93 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 7.81 | $0.962 | $7.51 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.56 | $0.640 | $1 | Nov 22, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.320 | $2 | Nov 20, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 16.12 | $0.470 | $7.58 | Nov 18, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 5.71 | $0.350 | $2 | Nov 13, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 2.86 | $0.350 | $1 | Nov 13, 2025 |
| Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?Yes | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | Nov 5, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?Yes | buy | 4.19 | $0.477 | $2 | Nov 1, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 16.13 | $0.310 | $5 | Nov 1, 2025 |