Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Yes | 31.75 | $0.290 | $24.77 | +$15.56 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,100?No | buy | 9.94 | $0.880 | $8.75 | 15h ago |
 |
| No |
| 16.75 |
| $0.560 |
| $12.06 |
| +$2.68 |
 Will Matthew Rhys – “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a comedy series? | Yes | 10.13 | $0.909 | $9.84 | +$0.63 |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | No | 32.34 | $0.290 | $9.22 | -$0.16 |
 Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | No | 11.3 | $0.780 | $8.98 | +$0.17 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 18.14 | $0.500 | $8.62 | -$0.45 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 11.68 | $0.750 | $8.58 | -$0.18 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes | 11.48 | $0.710 | $8.44 | +$0.29 |
 Will Esthela Damián Peralta win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election? | No | 14.49 | $0.551 | $3.75 | -$4.23 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | Yes | 1.75 | $0.430 | $1.08 | +$0.32 |
| buy |
| 32.34 |
| $0.290 |
| $9.38 |
| 22h ago |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | buy | 11.48 | $0.710 | $8.15 | 1d ago |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 11.68 | $0.750 | $8.76 | 1d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 18.14 | $0.500 | $9.07 | 2d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 9.78 | $0.500 | $4.89 | 2d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 9.78 | $0.510 | $4.99 | 2d ago |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 6:45AM-6:50AM ETUp | buy | 500 | $0.010 | $5 | 2d ago |