Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.380 | $76 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 70 |
| $0.760 |
| $53.2 |
| Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.771 | $23.14 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?No | sell | 3.28 | $0.720 | $2.36 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.850 | $85 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 200 | $0.834 | $166.8 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?No | sell | 200 | $0.500 | $100 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 2.3 | $0.680 | $1.56 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | sell | 200 | $0.290 | $58 | Jul 5, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 200 | $0.740 | $148 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | sell | 200 | $0.850 | $170 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.850 | $4.25 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.850 | $4.25 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.430 | $4.3 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes | sell | 14.69 | $0.400 | $5.88 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes | sell | 185.3 | $0.410 | $75.97 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 200 | $0.380 | $76 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.590 | $118 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 19.86 | $0.600 | $11.92 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 54 | $0.600 | $32.4 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 208 | $0.510 | $106.08 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will Algeria win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 200 | $0.877 | $175.4 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | sell | 8.69 | $0.640 | $5.56 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | sell | 53.61 | $0.640 | $34.31 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.640 | $128 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 84 | $0.772 | $64.85 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | sell | 18.14 | $0.780 | $14.15 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | sell | 30 | $0.780 | $23.4 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | sell | 18 | $0.166 | $2.98 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | sell | 6 | $0.160 | $0.96 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | sell | 24 | $0.160 | $3.84 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | sell | 18 | $0.167 | $3.01 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.120 | $24 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by June 15?No | sell | 52.56 | $0.820 | $43.1 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | sell | 55 | $0.205 | $11.27 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?No | sell | 2.52 | $0.590 | $1.49 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 77.95 | $0.280 | $21.83 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 122.05 | $0.275 | $33.57 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.220 | $44 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | sell | 10.79 | $0.720 | $7.77 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 108 | $0.670 | $72.36 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.120 | $24 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.760 | $152 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No | sell | 45 | $0.310 | $13.95 | May 27, 2026 |
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No | sell | 17.37 | $0.310 | $5.38 | May 27, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 8 | $0.380 | $3.04 | May 26, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.760 | $76 | May 25, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:20PM-10:25PM ETDown | buy | 5.01 | $0.996 | $4.99 | May 24, 2026 |
 Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 5:45PM-5:50PM ETDown | buy | 5.09 | $0.980 | $4.99 | May 23, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 5:00PM-5:05PM ETDown | buy | 5.04 | $0.990 | $4.99 | May 23, 2026 |