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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US strike on Mexico by January 31?Yes | buy | 103.21 | $0.096 | $9.89 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 36.56 |
| $0.270 |
| $9.87 |
| Jan 7, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Crazy" at Charlie Kirk Memorial Event on September 21?Yes | buy | 4.39 | $0.720 | $3.16 | Sep 19, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Million / Billion / Trillion" 10+ times during the Fox News interview on September 18?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1 | Sep 18, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Stupid" during the Fox News interview on September 18?Yes | buy | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1 | Sep 17, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "War" 3+ times during the UK state banquet on September 17?Yes | sell | 1.66 | $0.440 | $0.73 | Sep 17, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Deal" 15+ times during the Fox News interview on September 18?No | buy | 1.59 | $0.800 | $1.27 | Sep 17, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Maduro" during address to UN General Assembly on September 23?No | sell | 1.81 | $0.450 | $0.81 | Sep 17, 2025 |
 Will Powell say "Downbeat" during September press conference?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Sep 16, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "War" 3+ times during the UK state banquet on September 17?Yes | buy | 1.67 | $0.600 | $1 | Sep 16, 2025 |
 Will JD Vance say Trump 10+ times during the Charlie Kirk Show on Monday September 15?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Sep 15, 2025 |
| Will JD Vance say Trump 10+ times during the Charlie Kirk Show on Monday September 15?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Sep 15, 2025 |
 Will MrBeast's next video get between 35-40 million views on day 1?Yes | sell | 4.16 | $0.090 | $0.37 | Sep 14, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Maduro" during address to UN General Assembly on September 23?No | buy | 1.82 | $0.550 | $1 | Sep 13, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Tariff" 15+ times during September press conference?No | sell | 1.75 | $0.560 | $0.98 | Sep 13, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Goal" 15+ times during September press conference?No | sell | 2.77 | $0.340 | $0.94 | Sep 13, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during September press conference?No | sell | 5.26 | $0.150 | $0.79 | Sep 13, 2025 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 35-40 million views on day 1?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Sep 12, 2025 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 25-30 million views on day 1?Yes | sell | 20.4 | $0.037 | $0.75 | Sep 12, 2025 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 25-30 million views on day 1?Yes | buy | 20.41 | $0.049 | $1 | Sep 12, 2025 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 40-45 million views on day 1?Yes | sell | 4.16 | $0.200 | $0.83 | Sep 12, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Goal" 15+ times during September press conference?No | buy | 2.78 | $0.360 | $1 | Sep 11, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Tariff" 15+ times during September press conference?No | buy | 1.75 | $0.570 | $1 | Sep 11, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during September press conference?No | buy | 5 | $0.400 | $2 | Sep 11, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during September press conference?No | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Sep 11, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "God" or "Evil" 7+ times during 9-11 memorial event?No | buy | 1.92 | $0.520 | $1 | Sep 10, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Thousand / Million / Billion" 10+ times during 9-11 memorial event?No | buy | 1.79 | $0.560 | $1 | Sep 10, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Recession" during September press conference?No | buy | 1.85 | $0.540 | $1 | Sep 10, 2025 |
 Will anyone say or "Artificial Intelligence" during Apple launch event on September 9?No | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Sep 9, 2025 |
| Will anyone say "Revolutionary" during Apple launch event on September 9?Yes | buy | 1.47 | $0.680 | $1 | Sep 9, 2025 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 40-45 million views on day 1?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Sep 8, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Transgender" during Museum of the Bible speech on September 8?Yes | buy | 1.61 | $0.620 | $1 | Sep 7, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "DEI" or "Woke" during Museum of the Bible speech on September 8?Yes | buy | 2.22 | $0.650 | $1.44 | Sep 7, 2025 |
| Will anyone say "Revolutionary" during Apple launch event on September 9?Yes | sell | 3.95 | $0.534 | $2.11 | Sep 7, 2025 |
| Will anyone say or "Artificial Intelligence" during Apple launch event on September 9?No | sell | 2.08 | $0.210 | $0.44 | Sep 7, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Recession" during September press conference?No | sell | 1.72 | $0.520 | $0.89 | Sep 7, 2025 |
| Will anyone say "Revolutionary" during Apple launch event on September 9?Yes | buy | 3.96 | $0.480 | $1.9 | Sep 4, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Recession" during September press conference?No | buy | 1.72 | $0.580 | $1 | Sep 4, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Recession" during September press conference?Yes | sell | 2.08 | $0.420 | $0.87 | Sep 4, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Recession" during September press conference?Yes | buy | 2.08 | $0.480 | $1 | Sep 3, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Biden's War" during events with Polish president on September 3?No | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | Sep 2, 2025 |
| Will anyone say or "Artificial Intelligence" during Apple launch event on September 9?No | buy | 2.08 | $0.480 | $1 | Sep 2, 2025 |
 Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?Yes | sell | 9.71 | $0.370 | $3.59 | Aug 31, 2025 |
| Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?Yes | buy | 9.71 | $0.380 | $3.69 | Aug 30, 2025 |
 Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?Yes | sell | 6.03 | $0.612 | $3.69 | Aug 30, 2025 |
| Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?Yes | buy | 6.04 | $0.767 | $4.63 | Aug 21, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | sell | 5.54 | $0.836 | $4.63 | Aug 21, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 5.54 | $0.832 | $4.61 | Aug 19, 2025 |
 U.S. fertility rate up in Q2 2025?No | sell | 5.2 | $0.260 | $1.35 | Aug 18, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | sell | 2 | $0.607 | $1.21 | Aug 18, 2025 |