Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?Yes | buy | 13.84 | $0.446 | $6.18 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 217.39 |
| $0.003 |
| $0.65 |
| Mar 1, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | buy | 217.39 | $0.023 | $5 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 12, 2026?Yes | buy | 79.14 | $0.038 | $3 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Yes | buy | 714.29 | $0.007 | $5 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "President Xi" during Japan troop visit on October 28?Yes | buy | 207.5 | $0.010 | $2 | Oct 28, 2025 |
 Will Israel strike Gaza on October 23?Yes | buy | 3K | $0.001 | $3 | Oct 26, 2025 |
 Israel strikes Gaza by October 24?Yes | sell | 17.24 | $0.790 | $13.62 | Oct 20, 2025 |
| Israel strikes Gaza by October 24?Yes | buy | 17.25 | $0.735 | $12.68 | Oct 20, 2025 |
 Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?Yes | sell | 170.35 | $0.998 | $170.01 | Oct 20, 2025 |
 Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 5–10%?Yes | sell | 192.92 | $0.350 | $67.52 | Oct 20, 2025 |
| Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 5–10%?Yes | buy | 45.57 | $0.351 | $16 | Oct 19, 2025 |
 Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 0–5%?Yes | sell | 117.94 | $0.131 | $15.45 | Oct 19, 2025 |
| Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 0–5%?Yes | buy | 117.94 | $0.237 | $28 | Oct 19, 2025 |
| Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 5–10%?Yes | buy | 147.35 | $0.170 | $25 | Oct 19, 2025 |
| Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?Yes | buy | 170.36 | $0.587 | $100 | Oct 19, 2025 |
 Will Trump visit the Western Wall by October 31?Yes | buy | 304.04 | $0.033 | $10 | Oct 13, 2025 |
 Will Trump visit Gaza by Oct 31?Yes | buy | 102.56 | $0.156 | $16 | Oct 9, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.057 | $17.1 | Oct 9, 2025 |
 Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?Yes | sell | 518.41 | $0.416 | $215.55 | Oct 6, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?Yes | buy | 32.81 | $0.320 | $10.5 | Oct 4, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.040 | $12 | Oct 4, 2025 |
 Will Jorge "Tuto" Quiroga win by 0–5%?Yes | sell | 102.74 | $0.220 | $22.6 | Sep 26, 2025 |
| Will Jorge "Tuto" Quiroga win by 0–5%?Yes | buy | 102.74 | $0.239 | $24.59 | Sep 25, 2025 |
| Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?Yes | buy | 518.41 | $0.338 | $175 | Sep 25, 2025 |
 Israel strikes 3 different countries by September 30?Yes | buy | 37.68 | $0.398 | $15 | Sep 13, 2025 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 217.39 | $0.023 | $5 | Sep 13, 2025 |
 Skye Valadez confirmed perp?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.180 | $10 | Sep 12, 2025 |
 Polish strike on Belarus by September 30?Yes | buy | 303.17 | $0.016 | $4.86 | Sep 10, 2025 |
 Fact Check: Flotilla hit by Israeli drone?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.060 | $15 | Sep 10, 2025 |
 U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by September 30?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.230 | $10 | Sep 7, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Sumy before October?Yes | buy | 175.22 | $0.023 | $4 | Sep 7, 2025 |
 Another Houthi strike on Israel by September 15?Yes | sell | 27.73 | $0.997 | $27.65 | Sep 7, 2025 |
 Will Kai Cenat hit 1m Twitch subscribers by September 15th?Yes | buy | 305 | $0.020 | $6 | Sep 5, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?Yes | buy | 37.04 | $0.270 | $10 | Sep 5, 2025 |
| Will Kai Cenat hit 1m Twitch subscribers by September 15th?Yes | buy | 314.08 | $0.016 | $5 | Sep 4, 2025 |
 Will Kai Cenat hit 1m Twitch subscribers during MAFIATHON 3?Yes | sell | 25.4 | $0.864 | $21.94 | Sep 4, 2025 |
| Will Kai Cenat hit 1m Twitch subscribers during MAFIATHON 3?Yes | buy | 25.41 | $0.880 | $22.36 | Sep 3, 2025 |
| Another Houthi strike on Israel by September 15?Yes | buy | 27.74 | $0.361 | $10 | Sep 2, 2025 |
 Will Trump resign today?Yes | buy | 714.29 | $0.007 | $5 | Sep 2, 2025 |
 Will Iran strike Gulf oil facilities before September?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.010 | $4 | Sep 1, 2025 |
| Will Iran strike Gulf oil facilities before September?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Sep 1, 2025 |
 Will XRP reach $4.00 in August?Yes | buy | 690 | $0.014 | $10 | Aug 29, 2025 |
| Houthi strike on Israel by August 31?Yes | sell | 71.42 | $0.682 | $48.71 | Aug 24, 2025 |
 Was Kanye hacked?Yes | buy | 563.92 | $0.018 | $10 | Aug 21, 2025 |
 Israeli parliament dissolved by August 31?Yes | buy | 714.29 | $0.007 | $5 | Aug 19, 2025 |
| Houthi strike on Israel by August 31?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.140 | $10 | Aug 18, 2025 |
 Will a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Saturday?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.001 | $5 | Aug 18, 2025 |
 Will any candidate win outright in 1st round of Bolivia Election?Yes | sell | 395.68 | $0.040 | $16.02 | Aug 18, 2025 |
 Will another pairing advance to the Bolivian presidential runoff?Yes | sell | 272.59 | $0.780 | $212.62 | Aug 17, 2025 |