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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 1.69K | $0.844 | $1.64K | +$208.02 |
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Anthropic | buy | 344.83 | $0.870 | $300 | 26d ago |
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| No |
| 1.03K |
| $0.806 |
| $968.25 |
| +$138.25 |
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 627.27 | $0.701 | $580.23 | +$140.23 |
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 560.44 | $0.910 | $524.01 | +$14.01 |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 641.75 | $0.779 | $478.11 | -$21.89 |
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 536.76 | $0.838 | $469.67 | +$19.67 |
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 355.56 | $0.900 | $332.44 | +$12.44 |
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? | Anthropic | 344.83 | $0.870 | $332.24 | +$32.24 |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | No | 318.84 | $0.690 | $288.55 | +$68.55 |
Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026? | No | 92.02 | $0.842 | $85.58 | +$8.08 |
Andy Jassy out as Amazon CEO before 2027? | No | 58 | $0.810 | $53.01 | +$6.03 |
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | No | 22.99 | $0.870 | $21.95 | +$1.95 |
| buy |
| 318.84 |
| $0.690 |
| $220 |
| Jul 22, 2026 |
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No | buy | 22.99 | $0.870 | $20 | Jul 22, 2026 |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 43.01 | $0.930 | $40 | Jul 22, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 355.56 | $0.900 | $320 | Jul 22, 2026 |
Trump out as President by July 31?No | buy | 703.52 | $0.995 | $700 | Jul 17, 2026 |
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 560.44 | $0.910 | $510 | Jul 17, 2026 |
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No | buy | 42.55 | $0.940 | $40 | Jul 17, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?No | buy | 10.5 | $0.952 | $10 | Jul 17, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?No | buy | 10.5 | $0.952 | $10 | Jul 17, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?No | buy | 10.5 | $0.952 | $10 | Jul 17, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?No | buy | 10.5 | $0.952 | $10 | Jul 17, 2026 |
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?No | sell | 81.53 | $0.913 | $74.44 | Jul 17, 2026 |
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 411.76 | $0.850 | $350 | Jul 17, 2026 |
Timberwolves vs. SpursSpurs | buy | 38.46 | $0.780 | $30 | May 12, 2026 |
76ers vs. Knicks76ers | buy | 137.93 | $0.290 | $40 | May 7, 2026 |
Trail Blazers vs. SpursSpurs | buy | 235.81 | $0.840 | $198.08 | Apr 28, 2026 |
Thunder vs. SunsThunder | buy | 220.89 | $0.900 | $198.8 | Apr 28, 2026 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?No | buy | 510.2 | $0.980 | $500 | Apr 11, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 166.67 | $0.600 | $100 | Apr 2, 2026 |
Trump ballroom project unblocked by April 30?No | buy | 118.64 | $0.832 | $98.65 | Apr 2, 2026 |
Celtics vs. HeatCeltics | buy | 109.3 | $0.910 | $99.46 | Apr 2, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 1K | $0.900 | $900 | Apr 2, 2026 |
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No | buy | 434.78 | $0.920 | $400 | Apr 1, 2026 |
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?No | buy | 528.3 | $0.997 | $526.72 | Mar 31, 2026 |
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida GatorsFlorida Gators | buy | 12.43 | $0.800 | $9.94 | Mar 23, 2026 |
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?No | buy | 66.27 | $0.660 | $43.74 | Mar 21, 2026 |
Andy Jassy out as Amazon CEO before 2027?No | buy | 58 | $0.810 | $46.98 | Mar 21, 2026 |
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?No | buy | 81.53 | $0.822 | $67 | Mar 21, 2026 |
Siena Saints vs. Duke Blue DevilsDuke Blue Devils | buy | 1.14 | $0.874 | $1 | Mar 19, 2026 |
Siena Saints vs. Duke Blue DevilsDuke Blue Devils | buy | 113.22 | $0.880 | $99.63 | Mar 19, 2026 |
Siena Saints vs. Duke Blue DevilsDuke Blue Devils | buy | 113.34 | $0.879 | $99.63 | Mar 19, 2026 |
Netanyahu out by March 31?No | buy | 410.09 | $0.975 | $400 | Mar 19, 2026 |
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?No | buy | 56.82 | $0.880 | $50 | Mar 18, 2026 |
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?No | buy | 524.66 | $0.953 | $500 | Mar 18, 2026 |
US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | buy | 40.54 | $0.740 | $30 | Mar 18, 2026 |
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?No | buy | 16.93 | $0.930 | $15.74 | Mar 18, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | buy | 104.71 | $0.955 | $100 | Mar 17, 2026 |
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,900 (HIGH) in March 2026?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.207 | $41.42 | Mar 17, 2026 |
Netanyahu out by March 31?No | buy | 625 | $0.960 | $600 | Mar 16, 2026 |
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?Yes | buy | 485.83 | $0.972 | $472.23 | Mar 13, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.108 | $5.38 | Mar 8, 2026 |
Dems or GOP larger turnout in Texas Senate Primary?GOP | sell | 100 | $0.005 | $0.5 | Mar 8, 2026 |
Will Trump issue a Gold Card by March 31?No | buy | 529.69 | $0.944 | $500 | Mar 7, 2026 |
Will Trump issue a Gold Card by March 31?No | buy | 638.3 | $0.940 | $600 | Mar 7, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | buy | 11.45 | $0.873 | $10 | Mar 7, 2026 |
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Yes | buy | 205.5 | $0.973 | $200 | Mar 7, 2026 |
House passes Massie-Khanna war powers resolution by March 13?No | buy | 612.71 | $0.979 | $600 | Mar 5, 2026 |
Will Trump issue a Gold Card by March 31?No | buy | 215.05 | $0.930 | $200 | Mar 4, 2026 |
Will Trump issue a Gold Card by March 31?No | buy | 430.11 | $0.930 | $400 | Mar 4, 2026 |