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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 4.71K | $0.592 | $3.79K | +$1.01K |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 203.64 | $0.550 | $112 | 58m ago |
|
| No |
| 3.09K |
| $0.526 |
| $1.77K |
| +$150.57 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 1.84K | $0.834 | $1.58K | +$38.58 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | Yes | 3.12K | $0.473 | $1.34K | -$133.4 |
 OpenAI IPO before 2027? | No | 1.38K | $0.745 | $1.25K | +$220.77 |
 Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026? | No | 5K | $0.367 | $874.94 | -$958.45 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 800.36 | $0.746 | $677.9 | +$80.59 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 504.23 | $0.880 | $456.33 | +$12.61 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | No | 1.78K | $0.173 | $293.82 | -$14.22 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 901.73 | $0.320 | $220.92 | -$67.63 |
 Will Trump and Putin not meet? | No | 279.95 | $0.329 | $180.56 | +$88.39 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes | 211.62 | $0.559 | $157.66 | +$39.31 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | Yes | 829.08 | $0.223 | $111.93 | -$72.78 |
 Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.38K | $0.215 | $103.6 | -$193.65 |
 Trump meets with Putin by December 31? | No | 271.53 | $0.650 | $101.83 | -$74.78 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 700 | $0.350 | $87.5 | -$157.5 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.23K | $0.058 | $74.62 | +$3.7 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 850 | $0.200 | $55.25 | -$114.75 |
 Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? | Yes | 183.13 | $0.381 | $43.04 | -$26.81 |
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30? | Yes | 200 | $0.210 | $41 | -$1 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 209.38 | $0.104 | $14.97 | -$6.8 |
 Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 854.95 | $0.033 | $10.69 | -$17.53 |
 Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 40 | $0.150 | $4.8 | -$1.2 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30? | Yes | 64 | $0.260 | $2.02 | -$14.62 |
| buy |
| 201.54 |
| $0.560 |
| $112.86 |
| 3h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 5.09 | $0.530 | $2.7 | 5h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 61.13 | $0.530 | $32.4 | 5h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes | buy | 5.1 | $0.480 | $2.45 | 5h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 0.9 | $0.520 | $0.47 | 5h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 11.21 | $0.520 | $5.83 | 6h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 31.6 | $0.520 | $16.43 | 9h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes | buy | 30.83 | $0.480 | $14.8 | 9h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes | buy | 98 | $0.480 | $47.04 | 9h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes | buy | 204.17 | $0.480 | $98 | 9h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes | buy | 91.67 | $0.540 | $49.5 | 10h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes | buy | 63.15 | $0.540 | $34.1 | 10h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes | buy | 76.39 | $0.540 | $41.25 | 10h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 5.11 | $0.470 | $2.4 | 10h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.530 | $2.65 | 10h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes | buy | 201.14 | $0.507 | $102 | 11h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes | buy | 140.65 | $0.520 | $73.14 | 11h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 138 | $0.480 | $66.24 | 11h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 200 | $0.480 | $96 | 11h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes | buy | 135 | $0.500 | $67.5 | 11h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes | buy | 132.6 | $0.500 | $66.3 | 11h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 132.38 | $0.520 | $68.84 | 11h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 129.27 | $0.500 | $64.64 | 11h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes | buy | 204 | $0.500 | $102 | 11h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 10.19 | $0.530 | $5.4 | 11h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 13.25 | $0.530 | $7.02 | 11h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 13.25 | $0.530 | $7.02 | 11h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 6.11 | $0.530 | $3.24 | 11h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 12.42 | $0.522 | $6.48 | 11h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes | buy | 109.6 | $0.482 | $52.8 | 11h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.470 | $47 | 11h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 101.89 | $0.530 | $54 | 11h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 10.18 | $0.550 | $5.6 | 12h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 5.09 | $0.550 | $2.8 | 12h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 8.15 | $0.550 | $4.48 | 12h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 6.11 | $0.550 | $3.36 | 12h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes | buy | 53 | $0.460 | $24.38 | 12h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 53.96 | $0.550 | $29.68 | 12h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes | buy | 52.86 | $0.450 | $23.79 | 12h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes | buy | 134.87 | $0.447 | $60.26 | 12h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 7.11 | $0.570 | $4.05 | 12h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes | buy | 153.41 | $0.440 | $67.5 | 12h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 10.18 | $0.570 | $5.8 | 12h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes | buy | 9.98 | $0.430 | $4.29 | 12h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes | buy | 204.55 | $0.440 | $90 | 12h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes | buy | 51.14 | $0.440 | $22.5 | 13h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes | buy | 103.54 | $0.439 | $45.45 | 13h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes | buy | 81.86 | $0.430 | $35.2 | 13h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 6.1 | $0.580 | $3.54 | 13h ago |