Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 100 | $0.530 | $7.5 | -$45.5 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | sell | 246.91 | $0.830 | $204.94 | Mar 21, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 246.91 |
| $0.810 |
| $200 |
| Mar 18, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by March 31?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.057 | $56.97 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 US strike on Mexico by March 31?No | sell | 150 | $0.941 | $141.15 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ETDown | buy | 84.28 | $0.506 | $42.63 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ETUp | buy | 44.51 | $0.393 | $17.49 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ETUp | buy | 18.28 | $0.530 | $9.69 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ETDown | buy | 16.15 | $0.480 | $7.75 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ETDown | buy | 5.44 | $0.720 | $3.92 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ETUp | sell | 1.59 | $0.990 | $1.57 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ETUp | buy | 4.86 | $0.400 | $1.94 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ETUp | buy | 1.57 | $0.620 | $0.97 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ETUp | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Feb 14, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 110 | $0.300 | $33 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?No | sell | 52.63 | $0.950 | $50 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.510 | $25.5 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?No | buy | 51.28 | $0.780 | $40 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?No | buy | 52.63 | $0.760 | $40 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?No | buy | 111.11 | $0.900 | $100 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.760 | $76 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.530 | $53 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.041 | $4.1 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| US strike on Mexico by March 31?No | buy | 150 | $0.800 | $120 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 53.33 | $0.750 | $40 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.140 | $5 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.300 | $30 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 50.63 | $0.790 | $40 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in January?Yes | buy | 5.85K | $0.015 | $87.75 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: AI EditionYes | sell | 20 | $0.993 | $19.86 | Jan 1, 2026 |
 Will Eight die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No | buy | 60 | $0.310 | $18.6 | Dec 29, 2025 |
 Will Joyce Byers die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No | buy | 29.99 | $0.937 | $28.1 | Dec 29, 2025 |
 Will Nancy Wheeler die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No | buy | 74.78 | $0.915 | $68.42 | Dec 29, 2025 |
 Will Jonathan Byers die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No | buy | 100 | $0.880 | $88 | Dec 29, 2025 |
 Will Steve Harrington die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No | buy | 100 | $0.870 | $87 | Dec 29, 2025 |
 Will Time 2025 Person of the Year be leaked?No | sell | 153.12 | $0.031 | $4.75 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Will Time 2025 Person of the Year be leaked?No | buy | 490 | $0.021 | $10.29 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 11?Yes | buy | 0.29 | $0.290 | $0.08 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on December 10?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.690 | $13.8 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 10?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 10?Yes | buy | 39.22 | $0.510 | $20 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.968 | $193.6 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.015 | $1 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 510 | $0.007 | $3.57 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on November 25?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.065 | $2.6 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on November 25?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.590 | $29.5 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?No | buy | 100 | $0.780 | $78 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: NovemberYes | buy | 28.17 | $0.710 | $20 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in November?No | buy | 300 | $0.929 | $278.7 | Nov 14, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.520 | $208 | Nov 14, 2025 |