Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 104.82 | $0.954 | $90.93 | -$9.07 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | buy | 11.32 | $0.952 | $10.78 | Mar 26, 2026 |
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SMOLBRAIN is a public Polymarket wallet indexed by Vultax, ranked #2,687,966 in the Observed 80K cohort. As of the latest observation the record shows -$137.5 observed lifetime PnL, 29 distinct markets, 24 resolved positions, a 70.8% win rate on resolved positions.
Rank, total PnL and observed volume come from one accepted snapshot of Polymarket's public leaderboard, so they are consistent with each other and with every other profile in the cohort. Open positions, the chart and recent trades are separate live observations with their own timestamps. A figure Vultax could not observe is left out rather than shown as zero, and nothing on this page is investment advice or a return forecast.
Public profile: polymarket.com/profile/0x20db37d16aaad47d95bd1900fd2e454ef0a48b67
Nine stops, one per figure. Each says what the number is, why it matters, and what it reads for this wallet in the accepted snapshot.
Position in Vultax's Observed 80K cohort: 80,000 public Polymarket wallets ordered by observed lifetime profit in one accepted leaderboard snapshot. A rank is only comparable inside that snapshot.
Observed lifetime profit and loss for the wallet, realized and unrealized combined, as reported in the accepted snapshot. It is a record of what happened, not a forecast of what comes next.
| Yes |
| 100 |
| $0.930 |
| $14.95 |
| -$78.05 |
| buy |
| 100 |
| $0.870 |
| $87 |
| Mar 26, 2026 |
 Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?Yes | buy | 51.81 | $0.965 | $50 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by April 30?No | buy | 51.33 | $0.974 | $50 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 104.82 | $0.954 | $100 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 20.55 | $0.973 | $20 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.556 | $55.6 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Flying Tulip FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?No | buy | 113.64 | $0.880 | $100 | Jan 24, 2026 |
 Zama auction clearing price above $0.03?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.980 | $98 | Jan 24, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?No | buy | 108.7 | $0.920 | $100 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Over $90M committed to the Ranger public sale?No | sell | 205.48 | $0.763 | $156.78 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?No | sell | 100 | $0.050 | $5 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Over $70M committed to the Ranger public sale?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.970 | $97 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Over $50M committed to the Ranger public sale?Yes | sell | 110 | $0.991 | $109.01 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Over $90M committed to the Ranger public sale?No | buy | 105.49 | $0.948 | $100 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?No | buy | 100 | $0.850 | $85 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?No | sell | 100 | $0.840 | $84 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.999 | $199.8 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale?No | sell | 100 | $0.638 | $63.84 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.890 | $17.8 | Jan 1, 2026 |
 Ranger FDV above $30M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 18 | $0.750 | $13.5 | Jan 1, 2026 |
 Will Perena launch a token by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.800 | $16 | Jan 1, 2026 |
 Will GMGN launch a token by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.970 | $1.01 | Jan 1, 2026 |
 Will Loopscale launch a token by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.890 | $17.8 | Jan 1, 2026 |
 Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.848 | $16.96 | Jan 1, 2026 |
 US government shutdown by October 1?No | buy | 27.03 | $0.370 | $10 | Sep 28, 2025 |
| US government shutdown by October 1?No | buy | 38.46 | $0.260 | $10 | Sep 27, 2025 |
| US government shutdown in 2025?Yes | buy | 60.98 | $0.820 | $50 | Sep 27, 2025 |
Lifetime dollar volume the wallet has traded in the same snapshot. Profit read next to volume shows how much return each traded dollar earned.
Value of the wallet's open positions at the profile observation, priced at current marks. Zero can mean the wallet holds nothing open, or that no open value was observed.
Share of resolved positions that closed in profit within the available sample. A high win rate with a small profit usually means many small wins and a few large losses.
Realized winning markets summed against realized losing markets. The split shows whether profit came from many small wins or from a few big calls.
Total losses as a share of total gains in the available sample. Lower means less of the profit was given back; a value above 100% means the wallet lost more than it won.
Distinct markets the wallet has traded, and how many of its positions have resolved. Breadth tells you whether a record is one lucky call or a habit.
How many provider fill rows this view loaded and when the snapshot was taken. Vultax stamps every figure with its observation time instead of presenting an old number as live.