Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?No | buy | 2.13 | $0.940 | $2 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 8.33 |
| $0.120 |
| $1 |
| Jan 24, 2025 |
 100+ Bird Flu cases in U.S. before February?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Jan 24, 2025 |
 Will Trump sign between 1 and 3 executive orders on January 21?No | buy | 100 | $0.050 | $5 | Jan 22, 2025 |
 Will Trump issue 40 or more executive orders on Day 1?Yes | buy | 18.24 | $0.330 | $6.02 | Jan 20, 2025 |
 US inauguration on January 20?No | sell | 71.42 | $0.001 | $0.07 | Jan 20, 2025 |
| US inauguration on January 20?No | buy | 71.43 | $0.014 | $1 | Jan 19, 2025 |
 Will Biden issue a preemptive pardon?Yes | buy | 3.76 | $0.500 | $1.88 | Jan 15, 2025 |
| Will Biden issue a preemptive pardon?Yes | buy | 1.85 | $0.540 | $1 | Jan 15, 2025 |
 Less than 26m people watch Trump inauguration?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Jan 15, 2025 |
 Price of eggs goes up in Trump's first month?Yes | buy | 1.56 | $0.640 | $1 | Jan 15, 2025 |
 Will Facebook implement "community notes" before April?Yes | buy | 1.54 | $0.650 | $1 | Jan 15, 2025 |
 Will ECB make no change in interest rates in January 2025?Yes | buy | 13.7 | $0.073 | $1 | Jan 15, 2025 |
 RedNote/Xiaohongshu #1 app on Jan 24?No | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | Jan 15, 2025 |
 Will Supreme Court delay the Tiktok ban?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | Jan 15, 2025 |
 Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in December?Yes | buy | 1.54 | $0.650 | $1 | Jan 15, 2025 |
 Will US annual inflation be 2.9% or greater in December?Yes | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Jan 15, 2025 |
| Will US annual inflation be 2.9% or greater in December?Yes | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Jan 15, 2025 |
 Will the AfD win 10-15% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.008 | $1 | Jan 15, 2025 |
 Trump in jail before inauguration?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.006 | $1 | Jan 15, 2025 |
 US bank failure before March?No | buy | 1.23 | $0.810 | $1 | Jan 15, 2025 |
 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Yes | buy | 2.94 | $0.340 | $1 | Jan 15, 2025 |
 Will CDU/CSU win the second most seats in the next German election?Yes | buy | 13.16 | $0.076 | $1 | Jan 15, 2025 |
| Will CDU/CSU win the second most seats in the next German election?Yes | buy | 13.16 | $0.076 | $1 | Jan 15, 2025 |
 Will it rain in LA by next Friday?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.975 | $1 | Jan 15, 2025 |
 Will Micheal Martin be the next Prime Minister of Ireland?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.980 | $1 | Jan 15, 2025 |