Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?Yes | buy | 82.94 | $0.180 | $14.93 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 423.07 |
| $0.035 |
| $14.93 |
| Apr 15, 2026 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?No | buy | 1.88K | $0.001 | $1.88 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes | sell | 86.66 | $0.005 | $0.43 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Will UK strike Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 55.55 | $0.019 | $1.06 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?Yes | sell | 73.17 | $0.003 | $0.22 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?No | buy | 76.92 | $0.013 | $1 | Mar 23, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by March 31?Yes | sell | 106.66 | $0.011 | $1.17 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Yes | buy | 4.5 | $0.380 | $1.71 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by March 31?Yes | sell | 49.01 | $0.035 | $1.72 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Yes | buy | 418.58 | $0.380 | $159.06 | Mar 23, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | sell | 248.53 | $0.640 | $159.06 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 248.53 | $0.600 | $149.12 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | sell | 191.17 | $0.780 | $149.11 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | buy | 191.18 | $0.800 | $152.94 | Mar 20, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 5:25AM-5:30AM ETDown | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 5:25AM-5:30AM ETDown | buy | 9.39 | $0.210 | $1.97 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 5:20AM-5:25AM ETUp | buy | 32.42 | $0.302 | $9.78 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 12:55PM-1:00PM ETDown | sell | 50.55 | $0.460 | $23.25 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 12:55PM-1:00PM ETDown | buy | 49.83 | $0.390 | $19.43 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 19?Yes | buy | 124.91 | $0.040 | $5 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 11:05AM-11:10AM ETDown | sell | 48.06 | $0.540 | $25.95 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 11:05AM-11:10AM ETDown | buy | 47.35 | $0.410 | $19.41 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 11:00AM-11:05AM ETDown | buy | 66.11 | $0.440 | $29.09 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 10:50AM-10:55AM ETUp | sell | 70.64 | $0.776 | $54.8 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 10:50AM-10:55AM ETUp | buy | 69.85 | $0.700 | $48.9 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 15)Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 10:30AM-10:35AM ETDown | buy | 34.99 | $0.280 | $9.8 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 10:25AM-10:30AM ETUp | buy | 57.34 | $0.340 | $19.5 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 10:25AM-10:30AM ETDown | sell | 43.04 | $0.545 | $23.46 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 10:25AM-10:30AM ETDown | buy | 42.37 | $0.457 | $19.38 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 10:20AM-10:25AM ETUp | buy | 57.34 | $0.340 | $19.5 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 10:15AM-10:20AM ETUp | buy | 48.56 | $0.400 | $19.42 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 10:10AM-10:15AM ETUp | buy | 28.67 | $0.340 | $9.75 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 10:10AM-10:15AM ETUp | sell | 27.23 | $0.690 | $18.79 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 10:10AM-10:15AM ETUp | buy | 26.86 | $0.362 | $9.73 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 10:05AM-10:10AM ETUp | buy | 26.29 | $0.370 | $9.73 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 10:05AM-10:10AM ETDown | sell | 25.27 | $0.640 | $16.17 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 10:05AM-10:10AM ETDown | buy | 24.92 | $0.390 | $9.72 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 19?Yes | buy | 512.46 | $0.020 | $10 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 9:55AM-10:00AM ETUp | sell | 30.88 | $0.360 | $11.12 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 9:55AM-10:00AM ETUp | buy | 30.51 | $0.320 | $9.76 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 9:50AM-9:55AM ETDown | buy | 14.99 | $0.650 | $9.74 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by March 31?Yes | buy | 49.02 | $0.102 | $5 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?Yes | buy | 73.17 | $0.041 | $3 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will Powell say "Housing" during March press conference?No | buy | 25 | $0.080 | $2 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during March press conference?No | buy | 165.56 | $0.012 | $2 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by March 31?Yes | buy | 133.33 | $0.150 | $20 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-18?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.360 | $20 | Mar 18, 2026 |