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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 291 | $0.500 | $279.8 | +$134.3 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | sell | 300 | $0.720 | $216 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 218 |
| $0.500 |
| $209.61 |
| +$100.61 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 218 | $0.500 | $206.01 | +$97.01 |
 Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? | No | 45 | $0.500 | $44.21 | +$21.71 |
| sell |
| 50 |
| $0.998 |
| $49.9 |
| Feb 19, 2026 |
 Will GTA 6 cost $100+?No | sell | 50 | $0.993 | $49.65 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 5 | $0.884 | $4.42 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 5 | $0.964 | $4.82 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 5 | $0.941 | $4.71 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 5 | $0.956 | $4.78 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 5 | $0.955 | $4.77 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 45 | $0.986 | $44.37 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?No | sell | 45 | $0.954 | $42.93 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Will Elon cut the budget by at least 10% in 2025?No | sell | 50 | $0.995 | $49.74 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 52 | $0.970 | $50.46 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Will Trump deport 750,000 or more people in 2025?No | sell | 60 | $0.965 | $57.9 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 60 | $0.900 | $54 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 65 | $0.930 | $60.45 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?No | sell | 78 | $0.982 | $76.56 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 130 | $0.953 | $123.89 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?No | sell | 145 | $0.949 | $137.55 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 150 | $0.946 | $141.9 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?No | sell | 150 | $0.975 | $146.25 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | sell | 150 | $0.926 | $138.9 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?No | sell | 150 | $0.913 | $136.95 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Starmer out by February 28, 2026?No | sell | 155 | $0.978 | $151.59 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | sell | 410 | $0.966 | $396.06 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 218 | $0.972 | $211.9 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by March 31 2026?No | sell | 45 | $0.979 | $44.06 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 218 | $0.890 | $194.02 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 291 | $0.940 | $273.54 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.940 | $4.7 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Will GTA 6 cost $100+?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.006 | $0.3 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.060 | $0.6 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by March 31 2026?Yes | sell | 45 | $0.026 | $1.17 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 45 | $0.016 | $0.72 | Feb 14, 2026 |
 GTA VI released before June 2026?Yes | sell | 45 | $0.026 | $1.17 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 68 | $0.120 | $8.16 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?Yes | sell | 68 | $0.080 | $5.44 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 91 | $0.100 | $9.1 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 81 | $0.060 | $4.86 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 150 | $0.120 | $18 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?Yes | sell | 150 | $0.080 | $12 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.100 | $20 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.060 | $12 | Feb 14, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in February?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.021 | $0.84 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?Yes | sell | 150 | $0.072 | $10.8 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Starmer out by February 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 150 | $0.034 | $5.1 | Feb 14, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.928 | $4.64 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 5 | $0.890 | $4.45 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Starmer out by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.966 | $4.83 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 5 | $0.956 | $4.78 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 5 | $0.953 | $4.77 | Feb 14, 2026 |