Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | sell | 127.06 | $0.445 | $56.54 | Jun 11, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 127.06 |
| $0.787 |
| $100 |
| Jun 8, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 46.87 | $0.290 | $13.59 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 46.88 | $0.320 | $15 | May 17, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 64.81 | $0.540 | $35 | May 17, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?Yes | buy | 68.49 | $0.730 | $50 | Mar 22, 2026 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Yes | sell | 234.57 | $0.969 | $227.3 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Yes | buy | 98 | $0.890 | $87.22 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.890 | $4.45 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?Yes | buy | 136.99 | $0.730 | $100 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Yes | buy | 131.58 | $0.760 | $100 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?Yes | buy | 65.22 | $0.690 | $45 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?Yes | buy | 42.1 | $0.356 | $15 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?Yes | buy | 148.65 | $0.370 | $55 | Feb 21, 2026 |
 Will Player 152 win Beast Games: Season 2?Yes | buy | 129.11 | $0.008 | $1.03 | Feb 7, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 102.78 | $0.360 | $37 | Dec 25, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?Yes | buy | 109.83 | $0.600 | $65.9 | May 31, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?Yes | buy | 474.33 | $0.569 | $269.96 | May 15, 2025 |
 Will Fridolin Ambongo Besungu be the next pope?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.015 | $5 | May 5, 2025 |
 Will Jose Tolentino de Mendonca be the next pope?Yes | buy | 294.12 | $0.017 | $5 | May 5, 2025 |
 Will Jean-Marc Aveline be the next pope?Yes | buy | 202.4 | $0.025 | $5 | May 5, 2025 |
 Will Robert Sarah be the next pope?Yes | buy | 151.52 | $0.033 | $5 | May 5, 2025 |
 Will Péter Erdő be the next pope?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.080 | $10 | May 5, 2025 |
 Will Pierbattista Pizzaballa be the next pope?Yes | buy | 102.49 | $0.098 | $10 | May 5, 2025 |
 Will Peter Turkson be the next pope?Yes | buy | 95.61 | $0.105 | $10 | May 5, 2025 |
 Will Matteo Zuppi be the next pope?Yes | buy | 219.22 | $0.114 | $25 | May 5, 2025 |
 Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?Yes | buy | 103.45 | $0.290 | $30 | May 5, 2025 |
 Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?Yes | buy | 160.43 | $0.187 | $30 | May 5, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 414.05 | $0.978 | $404.96 | May 5, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 414.05 | $0.750 | $310.54 | Apr 8, 2025 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon before July?Yes | buy | 129.63 | $0.270 | $35 | Mar 13, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31?Yes | sell | 0.25 | $0.989 | $0.25 | Jan 17, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31?Yes | sell | 349.14 | $0.989 | $345.3 | Jan 17, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31?Yes | buy | 349.39 | $0.977 | $341.44 | Jan 17, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31?Yes | sell | 171.59 | $0.987 | $169.36 | Jan 15, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31?Yes | buy | 181.59 | $0.930 | $168.88 | Jan 15, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by March 31?Yes | buy | 163.83 | $0.940 | $154 | Jan 15, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31?Yes | sell | 175 | $0.880 | $154 | Jan 15, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31?Yes | buy | 349.1 | $0.870 | $303.72 | Jan 14, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by March 31?Yes | sell | 106.26 | $0.910 | $96.7 | Jan 13, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31?Yes | buy | 72.65 | $0.550 | $39.96 | Jan 12, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31?Yes | buy | 145.26 | $0.390 | $56.65 | Jan 6, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by March 31?Yes | buy | 106.27 | $0.640 | $68.01 | Jan 3, 2025 |
 Next Israel x Hamas ceasefire in December?Yes | sell | 1.35K | $0.050 | $68.01 | Dec 24, 2024 |
| Next Israel x Hamas ceasefire in December?Yes | buy | 319.04 | $0.460 | $146.63 | Dec 17, 2024 |
| Next Israel x Hamas ceasefire in December?Yes | buy | 0.26 | $0.428 | $0.11 | Dec 15, 2024 |
| Next Israel x Hamas ceasefire in December?Yes | buy | 239.7 | $0.423 | $101.34 | Dec 15, 2024 |
 Another Israeli military action against Iran in 2024?No | sell | 115.16 | $0.881 | $101.45 | Dec 15, 2024 |
| Another Israeli military action against Iran in 2024?No | buy | 115.17 | $0.919 | $105.84 | Dec 12, 2024 |
 World Chess Championship 2024 WinnerDing | sell | 180 | $0.560 | $100.8 | Dec 12, 2024 |