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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes | 29.88 | $0.160 | $1.64 | -$3.14 |
 Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump out as President before 2027?Yes | buy | 29.88 | $0.160 | $4.78 | Apr 1, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 12.9 |
| $0.100 |
| $1.16 |
| -$0.13 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes | 11.45 | $0.110 | $0.44 | -$0.82 |
 Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 20.83 | $0.048 | $0.32 | -$0.68 |
| buy |
| 60.39 |
| $0.017 |
| $1 |
| Apr 1, 2026 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | sell | 68 | $0.085 | $5.78 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?Yes | buy | 12.9 | $0.100 | $1.29 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 26.31 | $0.015 | $0.39 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 62.5 | $0.014 | $0.88 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes | buy | 11.45 | $0.110 | $1.26 | Feb 16, 2026 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 9.34 | $0.137 | $1.28 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | buy | 68 | $0.100 | $6.8 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" this week? (December 15 - 21)Yes | buy | 2.26 | $0.820 | $1.85 | Dec 18, 2025 |
 Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 27.02 | $0.039 | $1.05 | Dec 18, 2025 |
 Epstein or Maxwell confirmed Mossad operatives in 2025?Yes | sell | 66.66 | $0.012 | $0.8 | Dec 18, 2025 |
 Will Brian Armstrong say "Base Token" at the Coinbase product showcase on December 17?Yes | buy | 8.26 | $0.430 | $3.55 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Will Brian Armstrong say "Tokenized Equity" at the Coinbase product showcase on December 17?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.710 | $3.55 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Will another person/thing be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | buy | 47.5 | $0.048 | $2.28 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.026 | $2.6 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in 2025?Yes | sell | 31.25 | $0.014 | $0.42 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Netanyahu out by 2025?Yes | sell | 29.74 | $0.024 | $0.71 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Israel parliament dissolved in 2025?Yes | sell | 5.4 | $0.040 | $0.22 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto in 2025?Yes | sell | 9.73 | $0.013 | $0.13 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration in 2025?Yes | sell | 14.28 | $0.030 | $0.43 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Vaccine for new COVID disease in 2025?Yes | sell | 9.54 | $0.009 | $0.09 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025?Yes | sell | 9.09 | $0.017 | $0.15 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | sell | 7.14 | $0.021 | $0.15 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration in 2025?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.063 | $0.5 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 8.54 | $0.180 | $1.54 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Obama arrested in 2025?Yes | sell | 33.33 | $0.009 | $0.31 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will Trump be impeached in 2025?Yes | sell | 38.46 | $0.006 | $0.23 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Will Brian Armstrong say "Tokenized Equity" at the Coinbase product showcase on December 17?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.390 | $1.95 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Will Brian Armstrong say "Base Token" at the Coinbase product showcase on December 17?Yes | buy | 6.21 | $0.322 | $2 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Countdown" or "Count down" at Christmas Tree Lighting on December 4?No | buy | 203 | $0.010 | $2 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "God" or "Jesus" 5+ times at Christmas Tree Lighting on December 4?No | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 285.71 | $0.007 | $2 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 220.91 | $0.009 | $2 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 63.29 | $0.079 | $5 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 222.22 | $0.009 | $2 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 50.85 | $0.059 | $3 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?Yes | sell | 22.77 | $0.920 | $20.95 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by November 30?Yes | buy | 20.8 | $0.100 | $2.08 | Nov 5, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | sell | 23.8 | $0.082 | $1.95 | Nov 3, 2025 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by October 31?Yes | sell | 18.78 | $0.001 | $0.02 | Nov 1, 2025 |
 Megaquake by December 31?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Oct 1, 2025 |
 Successful Houthi attack on shipping by October 15?Yes | buy | 5.71 | $0.700 | $4 | Oct 1, 2025 |
 US government shutdown in 2025?Yes | sell | 2.63 | $0.979 | $2.57 | Oct 1, 2025 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 4AM ETDown | sell | 8.62 | $0.032 | $0.27 | Sep 23, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 4AM ETDown | buy | 8.62 | $0.580 | $5 | Sep 23, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 4AM ETUp | sell | 11.71 | $0.620 | $7.26 | Sep 23, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 4AM ETUp | buy | 4.57 | $0.630 | $2.88 | Sep 23, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 4AM ETUp | buy | 7.14 | $0.560 | $4 | Sep 23, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 3AM ETDown | buy | 3.33 | $0.600 | $2 | Sep 23, 2025 |