Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 China x Japan military clash before 2027? | No | 37.6 | $0.907 | $35.53 | +$1.43 |
 US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x China Military clash before 2027?No | sell | 107.68 | $0.956 | $102.94 | 18d ago |
 |
| No |
| 33.39 |
| $0.937 |
| $31.77 |
| +$0.48 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 21.98 | $0.910 | $20.55 | +$0.55 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 10.99 | $0.910 | $10.28 | +$0.27 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 10.52 | $0.951 | $10.1 | +$0.09 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 7.23 | $0.800 | $5.6 | -$0.18 |
 Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026? | No | 5.87 | $0.851 | $5.37 | +$0.37 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 5.68 | $0.880 | $5.26 | +$0.26 |
 Modi out by December 31, 2026? | No | 5.49 | $0.910 | $5.16 | +$0.16 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | No | 5.43 | $0.920 | $5.05 | +$0.05 |
 US strike on Colombia by December 31? | No | 5.95 | $0.840 | $4.79 | -$0.21 |
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | No | 3.28 | $0.914 | $3.14 | +$0.14 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | No | 3.75 | $0.800 | $2.96 | -$0.04 |
 Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026? | No | 2.15 | $0.930 | $1.99 | -$0.01 |
 Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026? | No | 2.44 | $0.820 | $1.24 | -$0.76 |
| sell |
| 10 |
| $0.979 |
| $9.79 |
| Jul 24, 2026 |
 Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?No | sell | 5.23 | $0.973 | $5.09 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 6.88 | $0.945 | $6.5 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No | sell | 9.15 | $0.640 | $5.86 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | buy | 10.52 | $0.951 | $10 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 NATO dissolves before 2027?No | sell | 10 | $0.988 | $9.88 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 10.99 | $0.910 | $10 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?No | buy | 2.15 | $0.930 | $2 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?No | buy | 5.87 | $0.851 | $5 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?No | buy | 2.44 | $0.820 | $2 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No | buy | 3.75 | $0.800 | $3 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Modi out by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.49 | $0.910 | $5 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will United States win on 2026-06-19?No | buy | 2.56 | $0.390 | $1 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?No | buy | 3.92 | $0.510 | $2 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No | buy | 5.68 | $0.880 | $5 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 21.98 | $0.910 | $20 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | buy | 6.17 | $0.810 | $5 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 21.98 | $0.910 | $20 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US x China Military clash before 2027?No | buy | 27.47 | $0.910 | $25 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 5.11 | $0.992 | $5.07 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US x China Military clash before 2027?No | buy | 54.95 | $0.910 | $50 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 2.2 | $0.973 | $2.14 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.05 | $0.985 | $1.03 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.17 | $0.780 | $0.91 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 5.43 | $0.920 | $5 | May 18, 2026 |
 Evo Morales arrested by May 31?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | May 18, 2026 |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31?No | buy | 5.95 | $0.840 | $5 | May 18, 2026 |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 10 | $0.910 | $9.1 | May 18, 2026 |
| US x China Military clash before 2027?No | buy | 20 | $0.950 | $19 | May 18, 2026 |
| NATO dissolves before 2027?No | buy | 10 | $0.960 | $9.6 | May 18, 2026 |
| EU dissolves before 2027?No | buy | 10 | $0.965 | $9.65 | May 18, 2026 |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.944 | $18.88 | May 18, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:15AM-12:30AM ETUp | sell | 5 | $0.020 | $0.1 | May 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:15AM-12:30AM ETUp | buy | 5 | $0.530 | $2.65 | May 18, 2026 |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 5.62 | $0.890 | $5 | May 7, 2026 |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | buy | 5.95 | $0.840 | $5 | May 7, 2026 |
| US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 5.11 | $0.978 | $5 | May 7, 2026 |
| US x China Military clash before 2027?No | buy | 5.26 | $0.950 | $5 | May 7, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | sell | 417.22 | $0.860 | $358.81 | May 7, 2026 |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 6.51 | $0.908 | $5.91 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No | buy | 3.28 | $0.914 | $3 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?No | buy | 5.23 | $0.956 | $5 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 2.21 | $0.907 | $2 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by April 30?No | sell | 15.99 | $0.995 | $15.91 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by April 30?No | buy | 16 | $0.982 | $15.71 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | buy | 15.71 | $0.996 | $15.65 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by March 31?No | sell | 5.34 | $0.999 | $5.33 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 US strike on Mexico by March 31?No | sell | 5.21 | $0.999 | $5.2 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| US strike on Colombia by March 31?No | sell | 5.11 | $0.999 | $5.1 | Apr 1, 2026 |