Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?Yes | buy | 1.93 | $0.720 | $1.39 | Jan 7, 2025 |
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DonahueHowell is a public Polymarket wallet indexed by Vultax, ranked #1,995,193 in the Observed 80K cohort. As of the latest observation the record shows -$14.4 observed lifetime PnL, 49 distinct markets, 49 resolved positions, a 51.0% win rate on resolved positions.
Rank, total PnL and observed volume come from one accepted snapshot of Polymarket's public leaderboard, so they are consistent with each other and with every other profile in the cohort. Open positions, the chart and recent trades are separate live observations with their own timestamps. A figure Vultax could not observe is left out rather than shown as zero, and nothing on this page is investment advice or a return forecast.
Public profile: polymarket.com/profile/0x205833d8bdd124e62281c489bfd4d8546496334f
Nine stops, one per figure. Each says what the number is, why it matters, and what it reads for this wallet in the accepted snapshot.
Position in Vultax's Observed 80K cohort: 80,000 public Polymarket wallets ordered by observed lifetime profit in one accepted leaderboard snapshot. A rank is only comparable inside that snapshot.
Observed lifetime profit and loss for the wallet, realized and unrealized combined, as reported in the accepted snapshot. It is a record of what happened, not a forecast of what comes next.
| buy |
| 2.39 |
| $0.986 |
| $2.36 |
| Jan 7, 2025 |
 Will the New Jersey Devils win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.930 | $1.08 | Jan 7, 2025 |
 Will Fischer win Nebraska senate election by 7+ points?No | buy | 1.95 | $0.960 | $1.87 | Nov 26, 2024 |
 Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 2-3%?Yes | buy | 0.59 | $0.994 | $0.59 | Nov 26, 2024 |
 Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?No | buy | 1.37 | $0.540 | $0.74 | Nov 26, 2024 |
 Will Harris win Vermont by 32+ points?No | buy | 0.43 | $0.950 | $0.41 | Nov 13, 2024 |
 Will ≥2% of votes go to 3rd Party candidates?No | buy | 0.35 | $0.939 | $0.33 | Nov 13, 2024 |
 Will the Republican candidate win Nevada by 3.0%-4.0%?Yes | buy | 0.38 | $0.878 | $0.33 | Nov 13, 2024 |
 Will Republicans have between 225 and 229 seats in House after election?Yes | buy | 233.08 | $0.006 | $1.48 | Nov 13, 2024 |
 IA-01 election: Bohannan (D) vs. Miller-Meeks (R)Miller-Meeks | buy | 0.1 | $0.990 | $0.1 | Nov 13, 2024 |
 MetaMask airdrop by September 30?Yes | buy | 340 | $0.004 | $1.36 | Sep 19, 2024 |
 Bitcoin above $60,000 on September 20?Yes | buy | 0.33 | $0.860 | $0.28 | Sep 19, 2024 |
 Jets vs. PatriotsJets | buy | 0.87 | $0.710 | $0.62 | Sep 19, 2024 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 2.45K | $0.001 | $2.45 | Sep 19, 2024 |
 Will a candidate from another party win Georgia Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 335 | $0.001 | $0.34 | Sep 19, 2024 |
 Will a candidate from another party win US Michigan Senate Election?Yes | sell | 392 | $0.003 | $1.18 | Sep 19, 2024 |
 Will RFK drop out before November?Yes | buy | 0.61 | $0.967 | $0.59 | Aug 22, 2024 |
 Speed/Kai beat hardcore Minecraft by Friday?Yes | buy | 0.88 | $0.650 | $0.57 | Aug 22, 2024 |
 Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Aug 31?No | buy | 0.93 | $0.800 | $0.74 | Aug 22, 2024 |
| Will a candidate from another party win Georgia Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 335 | $0.004 | $1.34 | Aug 22, 2024 |
 Will ETH or SOL reach all-time high first?SOL | sell | 0.57 | $0.560 | $0.32 | Aug 22, 2024 |
 OpenAI settlement with NYT by end of 2024?No | sell | 1.08 | $0.510 | $0.55 | Aug 22, 2024 |
 Next Israel x Hamas ceasefire in December?Yes | sell | 14.68 | $0.082 | $1.2 | Aug 22, 2024 |
 Ethereum all time high in 2024?No | sell | 1.75 | $0.800 | $1.4 | Aug 22, 2024 |
 Will Milady flip BAYC in 2024?Yes | buy | 1.25 | $0.680 | $0.85 | Aug 2, 2024 |
| Will ETH or SOL reach all-time high first?SOL | buy | 0.58 | $0.590 | $0.34 | Aug 2, 2024 |
| Next Israel x Hamas ceasefire in December?Yes | buy | 14.69 | $0.064 | $0.94 | Aug 2, 2024 |
 Will Israel invade Lebanon before September?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.630 | $0.75 | Aug 2, 2024 |
 Will Stacey Abrams be the Democratic Presidential Nominee?Yes | buy | 13.83K | $0.001 | $13.83 | Aug 2, 2024 |
 538 favorite when forecast is turned on?Kamala | buy | 1.46 | $0.670 | $0.98 | Aug 2, 2024 |
| Will a candidate from another party win US Michigan Senate Election?Yes | buy | 392 | $0.005 | $1.96 | Aug 2, 2024 |
 Will Biden speak at the DNC?Yes | buy | 0.5 | $0.940 | $0.47 | Aug 2, 2024 |
 Nasrallah remains leader of Hezbollah through August?Yes | buy | 0.56 | $0.930 | $0.52 | Aug 2, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris go on SNL?Yes | buy | 0.42 | $0.780 | $0.33 | Aug 2, 2024 |
 Will Kamala announce VP pick Thursday?Yes | buy | 306.67 | $0.006 | $1.84 | Aug 2, 2024 |
 House control after 2024 election?Democratic | sell | 1.78 | $0.540 | $0.96 | Aug 2, 2024 |
 Will a Democrat win the popular vote and the Presidency?No | sell | 1.61 | $0.560 | $0.9 | Aug 2, 2024 |
 Israel withdraws from Gaza before September?No | sell | 1.33 | $0.907 | $1.21 | Aug 2, 2024 |
 Ethereum above $3,300 on August 2?Yes | buy | 1.47 | $0.680 | $1 | Jul 29, 2024 |
| Bitcoin above $68,000 on August 2?Yes | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | Jul 29, 2024 |
 Will Kamala be Nominee before Convention?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Jul 29, 2024 |
| House control after 2024 election?Democratic | buy | 1.79 | $0.560 | $1 | Jul 29, 2024 |
| Ethereum all time high in 2024?No | buy | 1.75 | $0.570 | $1 | Jul 29, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win the popular vote and the Presidency?No | buy | 1.61 | $0.620 | $1 | Jul 29, 2024 |
| OpenAI settlement with NYT by end of 2024?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Jul 29, 2024 |
 Russian nuke in space in 2024?No | sell | 1.08 | $0.881 | $0.95 | Jul 29, 2024 |
 Will weed be rescheduled in 2024?Yes | sell | 1.88 | $0.490 | $0.92 | Jul 29, 2024 |
 Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024?No | sell | 1.29 | $0.640 | $0.83 | Jul 29, 2024 |
 Ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine before October?No | sell | 1.08 | $0.900 | $0.97 | Jul 29, 2024 |
Lifetime dollar volume the wallet has traded in the same snapshot. Profit read next to volume shows how much return each traded dollar earned.
Value of the wallet's open positions at the profile observation, priced at current marks. Zero can mean the wallet holds nothing open, or that no open value was observed.
Share of resolved positions that closed in profit within the available sample. A high win rate with a small profit usually means many small wins and a few large losses.
Realized winning markets summed against realized losing markets. The split shows whether profit came from many small wins or from a few big calls.
Total losses as a share of total gains in the available sample. Lower means less of the profit was given back; a value above 100% means the wallet lost more than it won.
Distinct markets the wallet has traded, and how many of its positions have resolved. Breadth tells you whether a record is one lucky call or a habit.
How many provider fill rows this view loaded and when the snapshot was taken. Vultax stamps every figure with its observation time instead of presenting an old number as live.