Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Zohran Mamdani win by 30% or more?No | buy | 3.09 | $0.970 | $3 | Nov 4, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 3.23 |
| $0.930 |
| $3 |
| Nov 4, 2025 |
 Will either Cuomo or Mamdani concede by November 5, 2025?Yes | buy | 3.13 | $0.960 | $3 | Nov 4, 2025 |
 Larger Margin of Victory: Virginia or New Jersey Governor?Virginia | buy | 3.26 | $0.920 | $3 | Nov 4, 2025 |
 Will CarMax (KMX) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?No | sell | 2 | $0.990 | $1.98 | Nov 4, 2025 |
 Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 4PM ETUp | buy | 49 | $0.510 | $24.99 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end October 27-30?No | buy | 2.2 | $0.910 | $2 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will Alphabet (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 2.5 | $0.800 | $2 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will Honeywell International (HON) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 2.35 | $0.850 | $2 | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Will CarMax (KMX) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?No | buy | 2 | $0.998 | $2 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will Pathward Financial (CASH) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?No | buy | 3.03 | $0.990 | $3 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Trump cuts taxes in 2025?Yes | buy | 2.08 | $0.961 | $2 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Trump ends taxes on tips before August?Yes | buy | 2.3 | $0.870 | $2 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Trump ends taxes on tips in 2025?Yes | buy | 2.04 | $0.982 | $2 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Trump signs bill selling federal land before September?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.979 | $2 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Chuck Schumer out as Senate Minority Leader by October 31?No | buy | 2.08 | $0.960 | $2 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Will John Fetterman leave the Democratic Party in 2025?No | sell | 2.24 | $0.860 | $1.93 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Andrew Cuomo charged before September?No | sell | 2.02 | $0.963 | $1.95 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Will Michael Bloomberg announce NYC mayoral run before August?No | sell | 2.12 | $0.981 | $2.08 | Jul 1, 2025 |
| Andrew Cuomo charged before September?No | buy | 2.03 | $0.986 | $2 | Jun 26, 2025 |
| Will John Fetterman leave the Democratic Party in 2025?No | buy | 2.25 | $0.890 | $2 | Jun 26, 2025 |
| Will Michael Bloomberg announce NYC mayoral run before August?No | buy | 2.13 | $0.940 | $2 | Jun 26, 2025 |
 Will Bill Ackman announce a new candidate for NYC Mayor before July?No | buy | 2.15 | $0.930 | $2 | Jun 26, 2025 |
 Will Obama congratulate Mamdani by Friday?No | buy | 2.3 | $0.870 | $2 | Jun 26, 2025 |
 Evidence Trump went to Epstein's Island made public in June?No | sell | 2.85 | $0.995 | $2.84 | Jun 26, 2025 |
 Menswear Guy deported before August?No | sell | 2.31 | $0.995 | $2.3 | Jun 26, 2025 |
| Evidence Trump went to Epstein's Island made public in June?No | buy | 2.85 | $0.982 | $2.8 | Jun 10, 2025 |
| Menswear Guy deported before August?No | buy | 2.32 | $0.950 | $2.2 | Jun 10, 2025 |
 Gavin Newsom arrested by Friday?No | buy | 2.21 | $0.995 | $2.2 | Jun 10, 2025 |
 Will courts block Trump's National Guard deployment by Friday?No | buy | 2.39 | $0.920 | $2.2 | Jun 10, 2025 |
 Will Trump return control the National Guard by Friday?No | buy | 2.62 | $0.840 | $2.2 | Jun 10, 2025 |
 Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2025?No | sell | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Jun 10, 2025 |
 Lee Jae-myung arrested in 2025?No | sell | 2.71 | $0.939 | $2.54 | Jun 10, 2025 |
 US 10Y Treasury yield above 5% by June 30?No | sell | 3.01 | $0.949 | $2.86 | Jun 10, 2025 |
| Lee Jae-myung arrested before July?No | sell | 2.69 | $0.992 | $2.67 | Jun 10, 2025 |
| Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2025?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Apr 27, 2025 |
| Lee Jae-myung arrested in 2025?No | buy | 2.72 | $0.920 | $2.5 | Apr 27, 2025 |
| Lee Jae-myung arrested before July?No | buy | 2.7 | $0.927 | $2.5 | Apr 27, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever HappensYes | buy | 2.59 | $0.966 | $2.5 | Apr 27, 2025 |
| US 10Y Treasury yield above 5% by June 30?No | buy | 3.01 | $0.830 | $2.5 | Apr 27, 2025 |
 Will the next Pope require 2 or fewer ballots?No | sell | 3.22 | $0.950 | $3.06 | Apr 27, 2025 |
 Will the Democratic candidate win the NYC mayoral election?Yes | sell | 2.02 | $0.948 | $1.91 | Apr 27, 2025 |
 Hegseth caught drinking before June?No | sell | 2.06 | $0.920 | $1.9 | Apr 27, 2025 |
 Is Kanye queer?No | sell | 2.03 | $0.976 | $1.98 | Apr 27, 2025 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by Friday?No | buy | 2.06 | $0.969 | $2 | Apr 22, 2025 |
| Is Kanye queer?No | buy | 2.03 | $0.984 | $2 | Apr 22, 2025 |
| Will the next Pope require 2 or fewer ballots?No | buy | 3.23 | $0.930 | $3 | Apr 22, 2025 |
| Hegseth caught drinking before June?No | buy | 2.06 | $0.970 | $2 | Apr 22, 2025 |
| Will the Democratic candidate win the NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 2.02 | $0.989 | $2 | Apr 22, 2025 |
 Will Erdogan repeal presidential term limits?No | sell | 2.15 | $0.920 | $1.98 | Apr 22, 2025 |