Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | No | 12.16 | $0.740 | $8.63 | -$0.36 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 9 | $0.460 | $4.14 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 11.18 |
| $0.610 |
| $7.32 |
| +$0.5 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 10.43 | $0.570 | $5.27 | -$0.68 |
 Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | Yes | 9.36 | $0.640 | $4.26 | -$1.73 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 8 | $0.440 | $4.04 | +$0.52 |
 Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.220 | $2.85 | +$0.65 |
 Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 40.91 | $0.220 | $2.66 | -$6.34 |
 Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? | Yes | 8.5 | $0.220 | $1.57 | -$0.3 |
 US strike on Colombia by December 31? | Yes | 10.25 | $0.230 | $1.44 | -$0.92 |
 Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | No | 11 | $0.220 | $1.16 | -$1.27 |
 Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 6.35 | $0.200 | $0.92 | -$0.35 |
| buy |
| 6 |
| $0.800 |
| $4.8 |
| Jul 11, 2026 |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 40.91 | $0.220 | $9 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.240 | $1.5 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.210 | $1.26 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?No | buy | 9.25 | $0.480 | $4.44 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.08 | $0.780 | $4.74 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?No | buy | 6.05 | $0.774 | $4.68 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $120 Week of July 6 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.270 | $2.7 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between -4% and -2% in May?No | buy | 10.95 | $0.740 | $8.1 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?No | buy | 6.81 | $0.740 | $5.04 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 11 | $0.220 | $2.42 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?No | buy | 11 | $0.220 | $2.42 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.440 | $3.52 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.86 | $0.350 | $2.05 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will Warsh say "Groupthink" or "Group Think" during June Press Conference?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.320 | $2.24 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Yes | buy | 34.62 | $0.260 | $9 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 8.5 | $0.220 | $1.87 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 16 | $0.460 | $7.36 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.270 | $2.7 | May 31, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 6.35 | $0.200 | $1.27 | May 31, 2026 |
 Will WhiteHawk Minerals' market cap be between $675M and $750M at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.320 | $2.24 | May 30, 2026 |
 Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYes | buy | 12.16 | $0.750 | $9.12 | May 30, 2026 |
 WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 12?Down | buy | 11.45 | $0.400 | $4.58 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 11.18 | $0.610 | $6.82 | May 11, 2026 |
 Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?No | buy | 12.59 | $0.715 | $9 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.220 | $2.2 | May 11, 2026 |
 Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on April 28?Down | buy | 12.72 | $0.630 | $8.01 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?No | buy | 9.67 | $0.390 | $3.77 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by May 31?No | buy | 9.33 | $0.250 | $2.33 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.220 | $1.69 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?Yes | buy | 14.35 | $0.510 | $7.32 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Will Amanda De Ryk win the 2026 London Borough of Lewisham mayoral election?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.310 | $3.1 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 10.43 | $0.570 | $5.95 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.45 | $0.390 | $2.9 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Will Encore Medical’s market cap be less than $45M at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.610 | $6.78 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Meta (META) Up or Down on April 21?Up | buy | 8.47 | $0.570 | $4.83 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 1240-1279 tweets in April 2026?Yes | buy | 6.57 | $0.241 | $1.58 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?No | buy | 6.13 | $0.800 | $4.9 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 9.01 | $0.660 | $5.95 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on April 10?Up | buy | 13.18 | $0.510 | $6.72 | Apr 10, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?No | buy | 13.04 | $0.690 | $9 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?No | buy | 9.8 | $0.800 | $7.84 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?No | buy | 8.99 | $0.760 | $6.83 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?Yes | buy | 8.34 | $0.552 | $4.6 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 8.75 | $0.210 | $1.84 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?No | buy | 6.66 | $0.730 | $4.86 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?No | buy | 12.16 | $0.740 | $9 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 13.65 | $0.560 | $7.64 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026?No | buy | 7.89 | $0.760 | $6 | Mar 20, 2026 |