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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?Yes | buy | 3.64 | $0.275 | $1 | Oct 31, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 8.33 |
| $0.110 |
| $0.92 |
| Oct 31, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?Yes | sell | 34.48 | $0.003 | $0.1 | Oct 31, 2025 |
 Will Trump and Xi not shake hands on October 30, 2025?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.020 | $2 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Will Trump and Xi shake hands for less than 2 seconds on October 30, 2025?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.024 | $2 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 71.72 | $0.022 | $1.58 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 71.72 | $0.028 | $2 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | sell | 11.11 | $0.310 | $3.44 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end October 27-30?No | sell | 1.04 | $0.996 | $1.04 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end October 27-30?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.957 | $1 | Oct 26, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.61 | $0.620 | $1 | Oct 24, 2025 |
 Will the price of XRP be between $1.90 and $2.00 on October 24?Yes | buy | 299.2 | $0.003 | $1 | Oct 24, 2025 |
| Will the price of XRP be less than $1.90 on October 24?Yes | buy | 241.6 | $0.004 | $1 | Oct 24, 2025 |
 Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Oct 24, 2025 |
 Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.035 | $1 | Oct 24, 2025 |
| Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be less than 1.0%?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.020 | $1 | Oct 24, 2025 |
 US recession in 2025?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Oct 24, 2025 |
 Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the October meeting?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.016 | $1 | Oct 24, 2025 |
| Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the October meeting?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Oct 24, 2025 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.009 | $1 | Oct 24, 2025 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Oct 24, 2025 |
 Over $10M committed to the ZKLSOL raise on MetaDAO?No | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Oct 24, 2025 |
| Over $10M committed to the ZKLSOL raise on MetaDAO?No | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Oct 24, 2025 |
| Over $10M committed to the ZKLSOL raise on MetaDAO?No | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Oct 24, 2025 |
| Over $10M committed to the ZKLSOL raise on MetaDAO?No | sell | 270.77 | $0.001 | $0.27 | Oct 24, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Oct 24, 2025 |
 Will Heather Humphreys win by 15–20%?Yes | buy | 188.57 | $0.005 | $1 | Oct 24, 2025 |
| Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Oct 24, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.029 | $1 | Oct 24, 2025 |
 Will MrBeast reach 450 million subscribers in 2025?No | buy | 126.5 | $0.008 | $1 | Oct 24, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model on October 31?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.013 | $1 | Oct 24, 2025 |
| Over $10M committed to the ZKLSOL raise on MetaDAO?No | buy | 270.78 | $0.004 | $1 | Oct 24, 2025 |